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Curated by Michael O'Reilly since 2020.
1550+ opinions with 4.81 rating (one of the best performing expert).

TOP PICK
Stockchase Research Editor: Michael O'Reilly

As members of the US Administration expect a continuation of high energy prices for the foreseeable future, we reiterate APA as a TOP PICK.  Shipments thru the Strait of Hormuz remain challenged leaving domestic producers in a good position to see cash flows continue to improve.  Analysts have upgraded EPS projections by 12% and more could be on the way.  It trades at 18x earnings, 2.2x book and support s a 25% ROE.  We recommend trailing up the stop (from $31) to $34, looking to achieve $44 -- upside potential of 18%.  Yield 2.5%

(Analysts’ price target is $38.89)
premiumPremium content

Unlock this Panic-proof Portfolio opinion with Stockchase Premium

Curated by Michael O'Reilly since 2020.
1550+ opinions with 4.81 rating (one of the best performing expert).

TOP PICK
Stockchase Research Editor: Michael O'Reilly

As members of the US Administration expect a continuation of high energy prices for the foreseeable future, we reiterate CNQ as a TOP PICK.  Shipments thru the Strait of Hormuz remain challenged leaving domestic producers in a good position to see cash flows continue to improve.  CNQ is a low-cost producer, whose cash flow has allowed for debt to be retired and shares bought back, while building cash reserves.  It trades at 20x earnings, 3x book and supports a 25% ROE.  We recommend trailing up the stop (from $55) to $60, looking to achieve $74 -- upside potential of 18%.  Yield 3.6%

(Analysts’ price target is $67.32)
premiumPremium content

Unlock this Panic-proof Portfolio opinion with Stockchase Premium

Curated by Michael O'Reilly since 2020.
1550+ opinions with 4.81 rating (one of the best performing expert).

TOP PICK
Stockchase Research Editor: Michael O'Reilly

As members of the US Administration expect a continuation of high energy prices for the foreseeable future, we reiterate EQNR as a TOP PICK.  Shipments thru the Strait of Hormuz remain challenged leaving domestic producers in a good position to see cash flows continue to improve.  The company is tightly connected to the European market, providing security of supply.  It trades at 20x earnings, 2.4x book and supports a ROE of 12%.  We recommend trailing up the stop (from $30) to $33, looking to achieve $45 -- upside potential of 18%.  Yield 3.8% 

(Analysts’ price target is $34.92)
COMMENT

Volatility has increased lately, but long term value will be created. Know what you own and be confident in those stocks long term. Take Berkshire Hathaway for example, which has compounded over time and more than doubled index returns, however, it in 3 years of its 60-year history when it fell over 50%. The market will always test your conviction. Don't miss out on superb opportunites, such as over fears of AI.

HOLD
CNQ vs. WCP

Is a huge fan of CNQ, but be cautious in energy now. If you own energy, sit tight and hold your gains. Valuations have risen a lot, though may not persist for long. He prefers CNQ. Is a strong compounder and return cash flow to shareholders while they reduce debt. He doesn't know where the price of oil is going.

HOLD
WCP vs. CNQ

Is a huge fan of CNQ, but be cautious in energy now. If you own energy, sit tight and hold your gains. Valuations have risen a lot, though may not persist for long. He prefers CNQ. Is a strong compounder and return cash flow to shareholders while they reduce debt. He doesn't know where the price of oil is going.

BUY

Growth has sold off and the market is running to income names. In Canada, income names he likes are Rogers and Brookfield Infrastructure.

BUY

Growth has sold off and the market is running to income names. In Canada, income names he likes are Rogers and Brookfield Infrastructure.

DON'T BUY
SRU.UN vs. Sienna Senior Living

SRU is very well-run, and Walmart is their anchor tenant, which is attractive. Tenant quality is high. But the problem with REITs is that in rocky economic times, REITs either have to cut their dividend or issue shares. He prefers stocks with low payout ratios. Sienna is not structured like a REIT, but the valuations in retirement home stocks like Sienna are much higher. He prefers Sienna, but owns neither.

DON'T BUY
SRU.UN vs. Sienna Senior Living

SRU is very well-run, and Walmart is their anchor tenant, which is attractive. Tenant quality is high. But the problem with REITs is that in rocky economic times, REITs either have to cut their dividend or issue shares. He prefers stocks with low payout ratios. Sienna is not structured like a REIT, but the valuations in retirement home stocks like Sienna are much higher. He prefers Sienna, but owns neither.

BUY

He bought it earlier this year as shares declined. He owned it before. It always had a high valuation until recently when it came down. Likes it long term. The street misses the extent of their data moat; they have proprietary content, plus many lawyers curated that content. Also, TRI will benefit from AI to enhance their products. Good data means good products, and they have good product run by good people. It now trades around 20x PE and a free cash flow yield of 5%. A pristine balance sheet.

DON'T BUY

Waste services is defensive and so attractive, but valuations have jumped. For this acquisition with SES, GFL issued shares and paid a full valuation, which is why shares sold off. But his problem has always been GFL's weak balance sheet. But the deal is strategic.

HOLD

The valuation is too high, but he owns and likes it. Long term, the hyperscalers will make their own chips. If the market keeps expanding, it may not impact Nvidia as much as people think. But there are only so many companies who make chips, and TSM is the number one. At 26x PE and 2% free cash flow doesn't provide enough margin of safety.

PAST TOP PICK
(A Top Pick Jun 19/25, Down 32%)

He apologizes for this return. He has added to it. The overhang is the fear of AI taking over software. DSG's revenues and profits are doing well, though, and they have a durable moat. They also incorporate AI. They have actually gained market share and gained revenues. He still recommends it.

PAST TOP PICK
(A Top Pick Jun 19/25, Up 89%)

Has long been a core holding. Until recently, GOOG was always trading at a discount to larger peers because of an antitrust overhang. Likes this a lot, but so does the market. The PE is above 26x (too high) and the free cash flow is just 2%. Is a hold now.

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