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No. He'd characterize what's going on as kind of a tug-of-war. You have your dyed-in-the-wool, true believers, "AI to infinity" crowd, and then the skeptics or pragmatists who are coming out of the woodwork. That's causing a bit of churn and rotation in both sector and style in the marketplace.
It's been very much an AI theme-driven rally since ChatGPT was born just over 3 years ago, but with fits and starts. Over the last 3-4 weeks, it's been in one of those "fits" with a bit of resurgence today. The probable cause is that MU reported better-than-expected earnings yesterday after the close.
We also got a little bit more rocket fuel to pour on the fire of the Santa Clause rally with the CPI numbers coming in a bit lower in the US. So we have a pretty strong tape out there today.
His firm are fervent believers in the transformative potential of AI. It's a generational event in technology. So they've been invested in it and remain invested throughout the value chain. That chain spans foundries that make the chips to designers to switches/routers. And upstream of those they're positioned in power producers. And even above that, natural gas and uranium producers.
They have partially trimmed some exposure in the last month or so, but only very lightly. Proceeds have been invested in more mundane businesses -- not hyperscalers per se, but companies that are realizing major efficiency gains for the end user.
Doesn't own now, but no qualms about taking a position, given the constructive view on natural gas.
A somewhat smaller producer of nat gas, with ~$4.5B market cap. Operates in Western Canada, but in the Deep Basin. Produces close to 90% natural gas, so almost a pure play. Production has grown ~4% compounded pace over the last decade. Company has had ups and downs; enjoying an "up" now. Had to cut dividend 3 times (2018, 2019, and 2020), cumulatively 95%. Incredibly, under new management it's grown all the way back.
Keeps costs low. Diversifying end markets away from low price points. Catalysts on horizon for whole nat gas sector -- LNG Canada plus "major projects". Yield now ~5.9%.
His preferred exposure to nat gas is via TOU.