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Today, John Zechner commented about whether MSFT, NOA.TO, CSU.TO, BLX.TO, CVE.TO, SHOP.TO, LSPD.TO, CRM, ADBE, OTEX.TO, MFC.TO, BTE.TO, MSTR, MDA.TO, BMO.TO, PPL.TO, BTO.TO, RCI.B.TO, TD.TO, PRL.TO, WCP.TO, TRI.TO, TOU.TO, SU.TO, TECK.B.TO, FCX, BAC, JPM, C, AAPL, NPI.TO, CPX.TO, AQN.TO, BIP.UN.TO, BN.TO are stocks to buy or sell.
He's underweight gold after the recent run, but still has a pretty decent position. Gold has about a 15% weight in the index, and he certainly wouldn't be that high (more in the high single digits).
On energy, he has about a market weight. He did a bit of selling yesterday. These events don't seem to last for long. It's been a good trade over the last 2 months.
Still underweight, but looking to get back in. We had the AI scare, capex worries, and then the SaaS apocalypse. Those might be legitimate long-term worries, but investors tend to take a narrative and expand it to the end, which creates a lot of selling.
Bigger problem for the sector right now is that it was a very crowded trade. Lots of new $$ kept flowing in, without paying that much attention to the fundamentals. Valuations exceed on the upside, and now that trade is unwinding.
The good long-term story hasn't gone away. These companies contribute to economic growth and corporate profits. He's looking to add.
Now, history teaches you things. One of the biggest mistakes he made in 2021 was buying into the pullback too early. When things were down 30-35%, his team started buying back into the names they'd sold. Then they continued to go down by 70-80%. Doesn't think that'll happen this time, as fundamentals and cashflow are better.