Whitecap Resources (WCP-T)

Broke below the March low, an indication that it's going lower. Barring a dramatic reversal in the price of natural gas, which it's tilted more towards, it's probing lower. Going back on a 3-year chart, no place to hang your hat yet.

Lots of damage in last 2 days. There's a lot of value there, but you have to wait to see where to step in. All of energy will be wait and see.

Merger could be really accretive, better together. Nice dividend. Scale could really help them both. He hasn't yet seen the terms of the deal.

He likes the WCP-Veren deal. Both were already decent companies, but together will enjoy synergy from cost savings. It will become the 4th-largest light oil producer in Canada. Management knows what it's doing, valuation good. Bigger companies here tend to enjoy a multiple increase. Veren shareholder will receive the WCP dividend, a big increase for them. The combined company will do pretty well.

Top mid-cap name, high dividend yield, aggressive product growth. Ramping up production, which will offer strong FCF. But capital spending is rising as a result. Scores 10/10 on value, 8/10 on fundamentals. Analysts seeing potential upside of 47%. Healthy dividend of ~8%.

M&A activity is not his sweet spot. When Eric Nuttall's on next, ask him; he can unlock the growth story for you. Larry's much more of a trader.

Has looked at this for a long time. Started a new position due to selloff on the merger with VRN. Really likes Canadian oil & gas long term, tariffs notwithstanding. 

Fly in the ointment is our new prime minister, Mr. Carney, who continues to be anti-oil and -gas. Paradoxical to him, given Canada's absolutely superb endowment of oil & gas resources and related technology. Perplexing that political leadership of Canada doesn't understand the energy patch business case when we have lots to sell to lots of willing partners.

Here, he can look at support on the chart and know that it's real because we know about tariffs and the merger with VRN. He needs a bounce off support; if it doesn't bounce, and goes below support, then you have a problem and don't want to own. If it does bounce, then you have a target of between $11-12.

Concerns about tariffs are already built into the price, and that's why it's down.

Owns shares personally. Excellent company with very strong management team. Very good assets with safe dividend. Capital discipline within the sector has been very strong. 

Loves these energy names at this point in the cycle. Yield of 7-8%.

If you assume oil prices go up, and assume they all execute well, which is the buy right now? He likes the upfront dividend. VRN is cheapest on price and financial metrics. Production outlook posted a few days ago is quite positive.

Not sure if the easiest thesis is to buy energy right now with Trump trying to attack the price of oil. But within the group, VRN is a name that works pretty well.

A big fan of management. A top energy company in Canada. Unlike peers, this doesn't need much higher oil prices to maintain its financial heft or dividend. Lots of downside protection. Oil and gas is in seasonal strength now. Pays a good 6.9% dividend.

Good management team has done a good job managing current assets. But assets are mainly light oil with a high decline rate, so they have to keep drilling to keep up. Prefers longer reserve life and lower decline rate. Excellent job with oil recovery. Dividend safe at current oil prices. Too risky for her clients, but if you're OK with that keep holding.

See her Top Picks.

Pretty balanced between oil and natural gas. Really well run, paid down debt. Good opportunities to do tuck-in acquisitions in Western Canada. Because of new pipeline that's come on, benefited from narrowing of WTI-WCS spread. Production grows ~5% a year. More torque than the bigger players. Very nice 7% yield.

Good, diversified portfolio of light-oil properties, which are always in demand. Great positions in Alberta and elsewhere. Fairly good last quarter. Well managed, consistent. Good dividend, with a good chance that it can expand. Fairly inexpensive relative to some others.