Today, The Panic-Proof Portfolio (Stockchase Research) and Mike Vinokur, CFA, CMT, and CFP commented about whether TLN, RITM, UBER, AMD, ENB.TO, MSFT, PFE, WCP.TO, CRWV, FISV, MU, RUS.TO, RCI.B.TO, T.TO, MCK, VET.TO, NKE, POU.TO, IBM, AAAU, MNT.TO, AEM.TO are stocks to buy or sell.
Usually you see a blip in August, post-earnings until the traders come back from holidays to break the quiet, or the euphoria over the next earnings. Something somewhere pops out to make the markets dive 3-5%. He expects this bull run to continue. Earnings on strong and the economy is strong. Canada is exiting a technical recession and the CUSMA deal is unsigned. Unemployment is steady and job growth is okay and the consumer is spending, especially the rich. Unfortunately, war is good for the part of the economy producing the equipment.
Yes, the PEs are very high and the dividends are very low historically. Any blip in the economy or credit could mean earnings will take a beating. There's little margin of safety on the earnings. Take profits on the banks if you're collecting a huge profit. He doesn't own the Canadian banks now. How much can earnings growth in this Canadian economy?
They transition from hardware to services and software. The stock ran up on the hype leading the earnings, but then that enthusiasm vanished. Any revenue miss impacts earnings and sentiment. IBM is interesting in the long term, but IBM has been considered dead money in the past. You get a decent dividend and management is good.
Managers repositioned the company. A third of revenues are from Europe, where they have big nat gas problems. They have successful discoveries in Germany with smaller productions in France, Ireland and Australia. They're getting huge premiums on nat gas and oil to bolster cash flow. They just repaid a lot of debt. They need to executing their plan with success in Germany, and higher North America nat gas prices--both factors will make VET soar.
He likes their cross-border business. Steel tariffs were a heated topic, but he felt RUS was protected from them because they have distribution in the U.S. as well as in Canada. They bought a major company to bolster their US operation. He sold his holding and misses out some of this run.
Holding gold should be part of every portfolio and AEM is an outstanding low-cost producer. Recently reported earnings showed an all time high free cash flow which is allowing cash reserves to grow while debt is retired and shares bought back. It trades at 12x earnings, 2.6x book and supports a solid 22% ROE. We recommend setting a stop-loss at $170, looking to achieve $250 -- upside potential of 18%. Yield 1.1%
(Analysts’ price target is $314.12)