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Those are the 2 big ones. Long bonds in the US, and now globally, have started to blow out. Bonds at 2-decade highs are causing some jitters. He was at a dinner last week, and the talk was all about how can both rates and markets keep moving higher? So that's the #1 focus for investors.

Oil keeps getting pushed out. The war in Iran signals that it's winding down, and then it ramps back up. 

Definitely a bit of investor fatigue out there the higher these two numbers go. It puts a lid on certain sectors of the market.

We're just 1-2 years into the enterprise adoption of AI -- big corporations that have entrenched IT systems starting to use AI for productivity. Have also seen deflation on the token cost (actual cost to run an AI model). Output is also much higher quality.

Seeing some deflation, particularly if you look at employment and wages. Very slow wage growth in the midst of cyclical factors (inflation, data centres, oil) that are pushing inflation. Structural inflationary forces on the other hand (wage growth, shelter, and housing), are starting to slow down. That supports a more moderate inflation outlook.

Not sure how much of a factor US midterms will be. Movement towards the Democrats might handcuff the Republicans on some parts of their agenda. It won't really change anything over the next 2 years, broadly speaking.

It really comes back to inflation and the price of oil. The last time we saw long bonds act the way they are now, we did eventually see some stress in the US banking sector. There's a very supportive movement to lower capital and reserve levels across the financial system in the Western world, so the stress might not appear. But as a rule of thumb, rates can go only so high before something in the financial system starts to bend, if not break.

So we might see some more volatility. Until we don't. ;)

Currently has no position in any of the Brookfields, but he'd play it through the parent. Difficult to understand, though taking steps to simplify. Demonstrated ability to grow AUM, which is what drives long-term growth. In the very long term, if HQ moved to the US, index inclusion could provide a nice boost to the stock.

In the space, he'd look at BX instead.

Prefers it to BN. 

Circular financing is definitely the biggest pushback in the AI trade. That's why it and AVGO are raising money to buy chips for Anthropic. Huge need for this technology for the industry to grow, but cashflow and payback aren't yet high enough.

In middle innings of the AI buildout, and NVDA will participate. Guiding to 70% revenue growth next year (and that's not just circular financing). One of his largest holdings.

Attractive at this level. Integrating its 2 acquisitions will take it downstream to data analytics. Key will be to integrate seamlessly and drive revenue and margin expansion. Positive view on space sector long term.

Core holding for income growth. He's been nibbling away at the $60 level. Stable market with slight growth. Diversified into infrastructure and gas distribution/utility. Lots of debt, so lower rates would benefit it. $40B backlog to help grow dividend 3-5% a year.