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Latest Stock Buy or Sell? Make More Informed Decisions!

Today, Tim Regan commented about whether BX, QBR.B.TO, SCR.TO, VDY.TO, AAPL, META, GOOG, BLK, TD.TO, BAM.TO, MSFT, NVDA, AMRZ, CP.TO, CCO.TO, RY.TO, GFL.TO, CSU.TO, CNQ.TO, T.TO, TAP are stocks to buy or sell.

COMMENT
Markets recently in doldrums.

A few things are causing this. 

Markets have had quite a run, and you really need the underlying businesses to catch up with that. And a lot of it is AI and gold. The speculative elements have still been moving in the market, whereas everything else has been flatlining for the last couple of months.

Money has, perhaps, been balancing out to other sectors. But if it is, it's the very first stage. We've been waiting for this for a while. Really, the market has to wring out the excess speculation right now. There are a lot of pricey companies out there and a lot of very pricey assets.

COMMENT
Earnings.

Interesting. Some of those that have disappointed the street (though they may have surpassed what the estimates were) have been severely punished. Even companies that well surpassed analysts' estimates saw their stocks go up only a bit. 

So you can see that expectations are high out there, as well as some nervousness on the street.

What this market reminds him a little of is 1999-2000. Even though the tech bubble crashed and markets went down, probably half the stocks continued to go up for the next 2 years. It's really a two-tiered market between things that are overvalued and things that are correctly or undervalued.

COMMENT
End of 2025 and into 2026.

His group is looking for a little more clarity on the tariff side, whether we get it or not. Also looking for some economic indicators -- coming through in Canada, but not so much in the US.

Earnings for NVDA are coming out, and that company's really the bellwether for things that have really been running this year.

DON'T BUY

Cheap, but the stock chart's really following the business. Beer consumption around the world, especially in NA, is down the last number of years. No matter how well it does, it can't fight that trend. Young people are moving from quantity to quality.

HOLD
Underwater 20% plus recent downgrades. Dividend concerns. Cut losses?

He owns, so is right in there with the investor. JPM says Telus can't sustain its dividend, and market really punished it on that news. Next couple of years, capex won't be as robust as in past few years (going from ~17% to ~12%). So can more than cover dividend for next couple of years. Raised dividend the other day. 

Underlying business is not a great growth business, but still has some legs. Yield is 8.95%.

BUY

About a month ago, he doubled down on his position. Superbly managed, great company. If you want to be in oil, this is one of the places to be.

COMMENT
Oil.

He can't forecast the price of oil, it's tough. Right now, it's $60 a barrel. In Canada, with new pipelines being built, the spread between Canadian oil and West Texas Intermediate Brent is narrowing. If you want to own oil, CNQ is the place to be.

The AI buildout needs energy, wherever that comes from. Until they build more reactors and wind turbines, oil and natural gas will supply the need.

WATCH

Wonderful business. Doesn't own because it's highly priced, even at this level. It would have to go down a bit more for him to buy. Any hiccup in the business and it'll go down more. But you never know what investors are going to do tomorrow.

Has done a great job of picking up other software companies, not worried about that part. A theme that will no doubt keep coming up in today's show is that it's all about price in this market today.

BUY

If he didn't already have enough, he'd be actively buying. On headline earnings, looks expensive, but earning cashflow like it's going out of style. Waste management business is great. Acquisitions are done well; very long runway, especially in the US where they add smaller operators (gives them the scale to make a lot of $$).

HOLD

Probably the best-managed bank in Canada, maybe one of the best in the world. All divisions do well, and capital markets have made them a lot of $$ recently (though it can be cyclical). Even if you have capital gains, why sell?  Decent dividend of ~3%.

COMMENT

He doesn't really know enough about it. The stock's really going up with the price of uranium. With the AI buildout, everyone's looking to build more and more nuclear power plants. Nuclear will definitely play a bigger part of the energy in our lives.

HOLD

The only rail he owns. Best in the space. Interconnected railway between US-Mexico-Canada. Underlying business doing fairly OK. Threat of tariffs affects it, so we need some certainty on trade. Not bad to hold now.

COMMENT
Buy the dip?

In this market we're facing a lot more macro uncertainties, as opposed to company-specific problems that you can get a handle on. It's always hard to commit fresh cash in this type of environment. If the underlying business is OK on a stock he likes, he's content just to hold for the time being.

BUY

Cement and a bit of roofing. Will definitely benefit from infrastructure spending in US. Metrics don't look cheap, but it actually is because of the way it was spun off. CEO of parent has come to NA to run it, putting his own $$ in. Lots of commitment from management, and lots of room to run.

SELL
Reports tonight -- beat, or will investors punish it anyway?

He wishes he knew, because then he could make a lot more money ;)  When we look at the whole tech market, everything is priced to perfection. If there's a stumble, these names can rocket down 10-20% in a day. He doesn't know that that's going to happen, but expectations are very high. Great business, but overpriced.

We'll see what happens. If NVDA stumbles and does not meet expectations, it could be a bad tomorrow for the company. A game he doesn't want to play, as there's too much danger on the downside.

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