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Maybe in the short term, as they have to digest recent moves. Since April, some of these stocks are up 60-80%. At best, we consolidate in the short term (which is weeks, not months) before we can get another leg up. The long-term trend is still playing out with this whole AI revolution.
There's going to be a rotation within the market. For the past 3 years (since November 2022 and OpenAI), we've been getting picks, shovels, and infrastructure in place.
He thinks that going into 2026 it'll be the year of the engines -- how companies actually integrate the whole AI infrastructure to make them more effective and efficient in whatever business they're involved in. It started with some of the big guys -- banks, BA, AMZN. You can sort of tell where it's happening because, unfortunately, it's usually related to layoffs.
In 2026, it'll start being more mainstream.
Software geared very much to the automotive industry -- mainly infotainment but also autonomous driving platforms. Has done extremely well. QNX software embedded in 255M vehicles around the world. Room for growth.
If you own it, stick with it. Buy some more ~$6.40, and a final third around $6 (doesn't think it'll go below that).
If you don't own it, buy here. A must-own. Pretty well sold out all the way until 2027. Some competition from the likes of AVGO and AMD, but it's still the leader. There will be a time (perhaps later in 2026 or in 2027) when growth rates will start to move down from 30% annual growth and closer to 20%. That's the time he thinks the engines will be the next big play.
His team always pays attention to the analysts' price targets, and it always becomes a bit self-fulfilling. Over the last year or two, there have been levels of resistance that now become levels of support. There's very heavy support ~$175-180 and again around $140-145. Valuations are stretched, and his team keeps in mind certain mental (not hard-wired) trailing stops so they can re-evaluate.
In his portfolios, certainly less than 10% (and maybe even less than 5%) in software stocks. A lot of generative AI is displacing the magic that comes from these software companies. Look for places to get out. Chart shows it's consolidating; there may be another leg higher, but it's too early to make a call on that.
Main play on the quantum side is security. Really complicated company, and no longer that small. Beginning to catch the eye of people around the world. Volatility coming from partnership announcements.
If you're hell-bent on buying this name, do it in quarters. Chart's volatile, but has also gone up a heck of a lot.
His portfolios do have about 5% exposure (give or take) to quantum computing. Favourites: IONQ, QBTS, and QUBT.
Kicked the new Siri down the road until Q2 or Q3 of 2026, which is only 8-9 months away. Dead money around $200. Then iPhone 17 came out, with a long line of upgrades behind it. Now close to target price, which is when people will be lining up to take profit.
Write some short-dated (1-2 week) calls using a strike of $275-277.50.
(Stock split of 4-for-1 on 4 December 2024) Selloff yesterday was crazy, given that it beat on topline and bottom line, with higher growth rates and margins. But it wasn't enough. Smart money used it as a chance to sell because of the liquidity. His team talked about buying some more, but they have a pretty full position right now.
Fantastic space to be in, but a pretty crowded trade. His 12-month price target is $162. Both GS and BAC raised price targets today.