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Stock Opinions by Brianne Gardner

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COMMENT

We are navigating short-term political shock. Oil is going up due to possible shortages and there are possible supply change issues. The Nasdaq is up this year with with cooling inflation and momentum in the U.S. markets. The TSX continues to outperform with strength in the gold and materials sector along with energy and industrials. The market is pricing in further rate cuts and she is cautious for some volatility, She is maintaining exposure to secular growth themes such as AI and Health. The stock market and economy can move in different directions.

TRADE

It is a good value stock. It explores and develops conventional oil and gas. It is too volatile for them even though it outperformed the last quarter. You could trim back and wait for a more favourable price target. It is a mix of buy, hold and sell.

Unspecified

A note regarding shock events: Going back to the 1940's the average return after a shock event is up 7 1/2% 12 months later. She sees good growth with its powerful AI centres and increasing revenue. It is in the volatile tech space and trades at a premium of 60X earnings. It has long term contracts with revenue growth of 40% year over year. However she sees a downside price of 25% and there has been some insider selling.

HOLD

Although she doesn't own it she has traded it. She is cautious on the run-up and AI sector but it could show good growth and there is still room to run in the sector. It scores 8 out of 10 fundamentally. There is a mix of buy and hold on the street and analysts see an upside of 12 to 13% in valuation. You could keep holding it but also do some trimming.

COMMENT

She likes the rails but would like to see more consistency in the quarterly reports and more momentum. The dividend is 2 1/2% which is not great. There is upside in the fundamentals and it should turn around for the long term. It scores 6 out of 10 on the value scale.

Unspecified

She has owned it in the past but not now. It is a wholesale business with premium food distribution.. It has been mostly under-performing for the past 5 years. Pays a 4.3% dividend. There is upside in the space.

BUY

She really likes it . It has done a good job of acquiring and managing niche companies in the vertical market business. Also organic growth has increased. Has strong free cash flow. Return on Capital is one of the best in the market. Scores 9 out of 10 on fundamentals.

PAST TOP PICK
(A Top Pick Jul 17/24, Up 32%)

It still holds a dominant position in world global payments and is still a long term hold with good execution. It trades at a bit of a premium.

PAST TOP PICK
(A Top Pick Jul 17/24, Down 45%)

It is one of the most integrated companies in U.S. health care. They thought it was very oversold so they doubled down on their position and will trend back. She is looking for 13 to 16% long term upside but doesn't consider it a buy and hold. Should be a high quality compounder.

PAST TOP PICK
(A Top Pick Jul 17/24, Down 18%)

It was very sold off so she bought it and sold in December for a 36 to 37% return and not a long hold time. It is now oversold even with the recent guidance cut. She doesn't like the discretionary space but there could be some upside.

BUY

It acquires and manages oil and gas royalties which is less risky than the actual production. Has a dividend of 5 1/2% with a forward dividend over 8%. There is no risk re a dividend cut. Scores 8 out of 10 fundamentally and 10 out of 10 on valuation.

DON'T BUY

It is buying back shares and did some cost cutting which could increase cash flow, but it still carries a lot of debt. It is a cyclical business and is battling U.S. giants. She wants to see a turn-around. If you own it continue to hold.

BUY

She owns it for the dividend of 5 1/2% and cash flow. Has a 90% payout ratio. It has renewed it's share buyback and increases its dividend. Pipelines are cash flow machines. She sees 15% per share growth in 2025. Fundamentally it scores 8 out of 10 and valuation 9 out of 10.

Unspecified

She likes the space but people are not investing in it. It has a low valuation and is tempting but she prefers elsewhere. It is a global leader in a crowded field. She sees 5% growth so there is some upside.

BUY

It did miss its last quarter's earnings but the core business is still doing well. There is maybe short term volatility but have patience. Banks are held for the long term and Royal Bank is good for the long term.

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