COMMENT

The U.S. PCE number will be released on Wednesday. The Fed pays more attention to this than CPI, because PCE better tracks what consumers spend. Recent months have sent mixed messages with higher oil prices, then settlement, then rises again. Friday, we see the labour number. Lots to chew on. More important is earnings season in October. Expectations remain high for earnings growth, but he's concerned with what's happening beneath the surface. Is a little worried about rising yields; the cost financing the U.S. debt is getting out of control. Nov. 5 is the next quarterly re-funding announcement--how the treasury finances the debt. Congress needs to send less, and the Congress could change after the Midterms and result in gridlock.

COMMENT
XDIV vs. FXM cs. ZCN as interest rates rise

XDIV holds high-quality dividends, FXM is a value tilt, while ZCN is the broad TSX.  In terms of rising rates, XDIV holds a lot of energy, but is effected by what's happening in the Middle East, not rates. ZCN holds energy, but less than XDIV, though many more banks and financials, which are sensitive to interest rates. When rates rise, seek value stocks, and those tend to be gold stocks. It's a complex question. Seek value stocks.

COMMENT
XDIV vs. FXM cs. ZCN as interest rates rise

XDIV holds high-quality dividends, FXM is a value tilt, while ZCN is the broad TSX.  In terms of rising rates, XDIV holds a lot of energy, but is effected by what's happening in the Middle East, not rates. ZCN holds energy, but less than XDIV, though many more banks and financials, which are sensitive to interest rates. When rates rise, seek value stocks, and those tend to be gold stocks. It's a complex question. Seek value stocks. 

COMMENT
XDIV vs. FXM cs. ZCN as interest rates rise

XDIV holds high-quality dividends, FXM is a value tilt, while ZCN is the broad TSX.  In terms of rising rates, XDIV holds a lot of energy, but is effected by what's happening in the Middle East, not rates. ZCN holds energy, but less than XDIV, though many more banks and financials, which are sensitive to interest rates. When rates rise, seek value stocks, and those tend to be gold stocks. It's a complex question. Seek value stocks. 

HOLD

Is solid, mature company that will make it through the long term. It is partially cyclical, because it's leveraged to infrastructure and government spending. The market is starting to discount that fiscal restraint coming from the government as opposed to the last few years when the government was spending to keep the economy going. There are challenges to WSP. It's under its moving averages, and he likes to buy low and sell high. Holding market weight is okay with this. Not sure if there's more downside before upside. The price is certainly better than 6-8 months ago.

BUY ON WEAKNESS

You get more than 7% in dividends plus the covered call overlay. Below $11, this is a buy, but it could fall to $10. This holds pipelines, which are negatively impacted by higher rates. Careful. This is relatively cheap, so he'd start buying now. He likes the risk/reward. Would sell at $12.

COMMENT
Will its monthly dividend remain at 20 cents?

As the NAV goes up and down, the payout is adjusted. The way they use the options strategy guarantees the distribution, which should not change.

DON'T BUY
Canadian-hedged, as a hold till the end of the year?

You have to forecast correctly the interest rate and the inflation rate. Do not use this within this tight timeframe, though ZTIP would be useful with a 3-year timeframe. 

WEAK BUY

The stock has been bouncing up and down $25 Analysts target $30 and it's trading close to that. The risk/reward isn't great. If you're buying it for the dividend for a few years, that's fine. A return to $24 is possible, though.

COMMENT

It's a car company, though many paint them as a tech company. There could be a merger with SpaceX. Robotaxis won't come anytime soon, he thinks. It would never work in Toronto in the winter, so at best it could work in sunny, warm places. He shorts Tesla.

TRADE

Is volatile, so hard to invest in. It was a sleepy stock for many years, then soared. He doesn't know what will happen to it going forward. It's a trading stock, not a long-term hold. The top end of the range is $1,400-1,500.

BUY ON WEAKNESS

It was a great growth story for years until restructuring. Gives great exposure to U.S. hospitals. Buy closet to $300, and sell at $450-500. It could go sideways for years.

COMMENT
educational segment

The percentage of stocks above their 200-day average. The S&P is well above its 200-day, especially now, but the percentage of stocks that are above fell sharply last week. Now, more stocks than not are breaking their long-term trend. This is called a decay in market breadth and is a leading indicator. As it decays, eventually the top is formed. Another chart shows the number of stocks making new 52-week highs and lows. In the last 2 weeks, we saw a serious decay where the market is grinding higher to make new highs, but fewer stocks are participating. The warning signs are there, so maybe rebalance or take some profits, but don't sell a lot. Markets can still go higher for a while.

BUY

Their products remain in consistent demand, and they just launched Muse, a personal AI platform that could attract billions of users. Meta crushed it with Muse and he bets it will have more market share than OpenAI.

BUY ON WEAKNESS

They have a new foundry coming online with good specs, though not as good as Taiwan Semi. The CEO will turn things around, though he's hampered by the debt accumulated by his predecessor. The current turnaround is happening due to the strong CPU demand. Shares dropped 7% today after a parabolic move, which could be an opportunity.