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We haven't seen too many spikes like this in history. This has been an over 4 standard deviation move, which hasn't happened in the last 50 or so years. Significant.

The lag time for any pullback depends on what happens with the reason for the spike in the first place. Typically, these moves tend to come back down to a normal trading pattern over 3-6 months.

His team has a dashboard of signals, and there's one called the "early warning indicator". It gives a signal of potential weakening in the market, usually a few months in advance. It's like a flashing yellow light. 

A few weeks ago, it turned negative for both the S&P and the NASDAQ. Still remains positive for the TSX. 

With market weakness last week, his intermediate indicators (a weekly timeframe) turned negative for the S&P and NASDAQ. TSX continues to be strong, which probably has a lot to do with its makeup -- energy and materials. Financials have been weaker the last week, but have had a really strong year.

One of the things he's watching is the volatility index. Though not at historic highs, it's still very high right now and that makes it difficult to put capital to work. When it drops below 20, that's when he'd feel more comfortable moving cash from the sidelines.

Probably one of the highest compounding rates of return over last 15 years. AI concerns are probably overdone. Earnings reported today continue to be strong. Acquisition targets now much cheaper.

Before buying, he'd want to see the price stabilize and more positive technical metrics. Value investors can start building a position.

Excellent job building out what they promised. Valuation got ahead of itself based on growth prospects. Regularly opening stores in Canada and US. Pullback's partially due to market instability. Keep in mind that a recession would hurt the consumer.

Great compounder. Outstanding management job. Very strong earnings, yet stock's pulled back. Great execution probably baked into the stock price. Nice dividend, fantastic growth profile. One to pick away at and accumulate.

Constant demographic push for this stock. Tends to spike up and then consolidate. If not owned, step in by thirds. Buy 1/3 now, another 1/3 lower down, and then the final 1/3 actually higher than the first (as you know momentum is supporting you).

Kudos to management. Online model continues to grow, both in glasses and contacts. Fairly aggressive revenue targets, and right now that's $500M (at which point they'll probably sell the company). Choppy stock. Lumpy around quarterly reporting on expectations vs. reality.

Doesn't rank super-well in his universe (in bottom 1/3 out of 1000 Canadian companies), and has a lot to do with earnings acceleration profile. Move off the bottom probably due to value seekers, dividend, and sports plans. Wireless side is challenged.

A purely dividend investor could hold.

Big spike last year due to excitement about cannabis being rescheduled, which would reduce its tax bill. It will happen, but hard to predict when (lots of false starts). Volatile. Small position only until cashflow improves.

If oil stays high, inflation will eventually impact consumers. Lots of ups and downs, but longer-term trend has been up. Fantastic M&A and integration, rinse and repeat.

(Note the shortish timeframe.)  Continues to build up backlog, and they've turned EBITDA-positive. Lots of runway. Swings with institutional orders of buy/sell. Loves management execution.

(Note the shortish timeframe.)  Continued growth from existing assets, plus new acquisitions.

(Note the shortish timeframe.)  Still likes it. More business as space costs come down. Starting to rebuild what it lost from EchoStar contract.

Peers have seen delinquency rates rising, but PRL's done good job managing that using AI. Continues to drive numbers higher, yet stock's challenged. Valuation got ahead of itself, but now it makes more sense. Earnings should continue to grow. He's watching it.