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Yes, a lot of it is that. The first AI phase rewarded the semiconductor and software stocks. The next phase may increasingly reward electricity infrastructure and real assets. The capex spend is broad and has support from many governments around the world.
It's not just software anymore; it's now colliding with the physical economy. AI can't run on enthusiasm alone. Data centres need electricity, transformers, cooling, copper, transmission infrastructure, and so on. Sees the impact broadening out to the physical economy.
We'll have to make investments in mines, plants, and refining to be able to build out the physical infrastructure to provide the electricity for the AI wave that's coming. It'll probably mean structurally stickier inflation. It'll consume a lot of real-world inputs like energy, labour, materials, and infrastructure.
All that will cause market leadership to broaden to mid-caps, cyclicals, industrials, utilities, and so on.
Investors want to make sure they have some exposure to the areas that are a bit more physical. In Canada, our index tends to skew that way. We have lots of rocks and trees and oil and gas that build our economy.
In the US, the S&P 500 is dominated by technology stocks. Oil & gas represents only about 4% of that index. So the big growth engine in the US is complemented by Canada's resource infrastructure.
Gold equities, which remain quite supported though volatility, likely to stay more elevated. In the options market right now, puts are far more expensive than calls (indicates a desire to hedge downside). For him, he expects a bit more unexpected upside.
Will benefit from strong bullion price, improving cashflows, and investor interest. Since interest rates are far from a sure thing, gold potentially has the opportunity to rise. A good diversifier.
Good time to start accumulating. Gold remains quite supported over the long term.
Also look at ZGD.
Don't forget that it has 2x leverage on the downside. With leveraged ETFs, they're more a trading vehicle than a long-term hold. A 10% loss requires an 11% gain just to get even.
News from Strait of Hormuz is that things are being worked out. Despite 20% of oil being blocked, we couldn't get oil to $150 -- seems there's a lot of oil sloshing around the system. A reopened Strait could see oil normalize substantially lower. A geopolitical bet on what might happen in political negotiations, and that's hard to take a position on.
If you think oil's going lower, this is a way to play it. Rebalance your profits as you go.
Actively managed income-oriented portfolio that combines multiple asset classes -- equities, fixed income, covered calls. Goal is to provide higher monthly income while staying diversified across global markets.
Helps smooth portfolio volatility. Tradeoff is that you're capping upside exposure in a strong bull market. For example, it's underperformed by ~2% over the last year compared to VGRO or XGRO.
Overall, not a bad play.
Actually more globally diversified than just US, and that's how you get away from concentration in the Mag 7. Remember that the US economy is now 65-70% of the global market.
A 60/40 mix, so bonds help with downside protection. Rebalancing happens on your behalf. There's 1-2% in bitcoin and alternatives like that.