With all the volatility going on in markets right now, if a company misses earnings or revenues then it'll take a hit. That's why we've seen some stocks fall upwards of 15-20% in a day.
His team believes that the proper exposure is from 10-20% in tech. That would avoid a meltdown similar to 2000, or even 2022. Important to look not just at the individual tech stocks, but also at the broader picture in the world. Make sure you have global exposure, different sectors. Some sectors are less risky or less volatile.
Nice to have a mix, because that's how you avoid losing $$ in the market.
For Canadian stocks, you want to be in the infrastructure play. Federal and provincial governments want to build roads, bridges, data centres, hospitals, etc. Examples include STN, TIH, and BDT.
After that, you want exposure to commodities. Stocks have been hurt this year due to the rising US dollar, as all commodities are priced in USD. If the USD falls in the long term, commodity prices should rise.
A third way to play would be through utilities. He has TRP and EMA in client TFSAs. You want exposure to the banks, as the federal government has gone to the banks to ask them to release more capital for business lending.
These types of plans aren't short term. They're the kind that will take 10-15 years.
Outside Canada you want healthcare, Asia, and robotics.
Ad revenues are being hurt with subscribers pulling back. Cutting marketing and staff. Will the economy slow, thereby cutting customers shopping online? Trades ~75x forward PE. It's a domino effect of whether it can keep margins up, which keeps cashflow up, which makes earnings rise. If not, there will be hiccups in a stock priced for perfection.
Reduce your risk by owning different layers in the tech sector. One of the 10 companies that make up 40% of the S&P; index funds got hurt badly yesterday. Tech is highly volatile. They're growth assets, which require lower (not higher) interest rates.
Stubbed its toe on earnings. FCF went negative because of all the AI capex. MSFT fared better. You need a hyperscaler in your portfolio, but pick just one of GOOG, MSFT, or AMZN.
Stock markets are going up, so wealth management is doing well. As are M&A and investment banking. One caveat is that it's trading at PE multiple ~50% higher than average.
Still in SEC penalty box, so excess cash being used to buy back shares and supporting earnings price. Another consequence is that dividend growth had to be curtailed (5% this year compared to peers at 10-13%). This challenge will continue until it gets out of the penalty box. In Canada, difficult to get bigger.
He owns RY instead.
Extremely volatile! Anytime you double your $$, you should be selling half. PANW trades at 255x PE, CRWD is at 200x. Rising interest rates could have an outsized negative impact.
FTNT had bad earnings the other day, got crushed by 25%. CRWD and PANW have had decent earnings. If no guardrails put on AI, important for these companies to step up and start to protect network systems.