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Classic climb the wall of worry, and then take the elevator down. It'll probably last a little bit longer. We'll see what happens on Friday with SpaceX. There are so many moving parts and there's so much uncertainty out there, people are rebalancing. Doesn't think the drawdown will have legs. 

He has about a 52% hedge across most portfolios, and built up some cash to ~15%. When the rubber hits the road is when they take off that hedge.

Yesterday saw a pretty dramatic fall, as the futures got down to 28,200. It's sitting right now around 28,600. That 28,200 will be really important to find support. If it goes through there, we're probably going down close to another 1,000 points. The market's always right, so you have to respect it and pay attention. It never plays out the way you think.

He initially bought 1/3. Will look to add more around $16.25. His 12-month price target is $60.15. Fantastic company, really smart people, good at execution. Pure play photonic (using light) computing. Reported on May 14, everything was fine.

He took some profits just last week. His 12-month target is $650. Buy in thirds here ~$500, $450, and $400 (note that he rarely gets this last third of any position). Darling of Canadian networking companies. Next earnings report at beginning of July.

More of a trading stock than an investment stock. Pick it up between $30-35, and let it go above $40.

Good runway to price target. A hardware and software company, but put in penalty box because of software. Well positioned for enterprise, consumer, and even government services. In his top 5 holdings.

Recent event felt like cleaning house, not very exciting. Siri upgrades with Gemini are important. Price runway not all that great. When it gets around $300, he's selling 1-2 week calls to earn some income. 

If you don't already own it, you can buy it here, and maybe ~$280-285; probably won't go much under $275.

It's tough being a software company these days. It became clear last year that the inference companies were going to be "the chosen ones" for the software AI stack. For the rest, it's not as though their product suites have become antiquated, they just haven't been quick enough to get in.

Thinks the software stocks will start to come back once they start to incorporate that inference AI. The moat around those inference AI companies may start to disappear once they go public.

Report a couple of weeks ago was miserable. Great runway to analysts' price target. Enticing, but just not the place to be. If you believe in the investment story, instead of buying at market price, he'd sell some puts with a strike price where you really, really want to own it.

(For the viewers, these Past Top Picks might be a good time to go and get yourself a sandwich ;)  

At the time, felt that the hardware foundation for the AI stack was going to mature, and the next layer had to be the software that would enable the end-user applications to use AI computing. Fantastic company, but it became clear that the Anthropics of the world would be too much of a headwind.

He lost about 10% on this one, selling it last October. Reading about it makes so much sense, but then inference AI came along. He wouldn't touch it, despite the gap to price target.

His rule of thumb is that if a position goes south by 15%, they have to revisit the whole investment thesis. CEO quit. And if he loses faith, what have you got? Anticipates that, eventually, hardware companies will be looking at the software stocks to broaden their stables.

Good runway to price target. Buy in thirds here, ~$270, and ~$260.

Main reason it spiked is that it got included in the S&P 500. Write some calls to earn some income; if you want to keep it, you can roll the strike price up.

Enables organizations to consolidate data into a single source, and allows other applications to work better together. Short runway to price target. Next earnings not until August 26. Sell some calls; if you don't want to get called away, just roll the strike price up.

Nice moat, not a heck of a lot of competition. Makes so much sense, enterprise (not consumer) software. But the nosebleed territory causes some angst.

About 20% runway to target price. Buy in tranches:  here, ~$147.50, and ~$140 (it probably won't get down here). Around $165, he'd sell some calls.