50% off Premium Yearly
Today, Josh Brown, CEO, Ritholtz Wealth Management and Stephen Weiss, Founder, Short Hills Capital Partners commented about whether QXO, CAT, LDOS, AMZN, MSFT, TOST, CBRE are stocks to buy or sell.
Last night they reported another incredible quarter, but shares then fell 13% after hours, but this morning was up +1%. Nothing changed. Revenue and earnings and cash flow earned. Users are using AI. Plus, there was good guidance. Does the rally continue past today? Don't know, because people could be insane tomorrow.
Three underpinnings are quite supportive of the outlook for the year.
Economic backdrop -- global growth trend for 2026 and into 2027 is relatively healthy. Global economy expected to grow at a faster clip than over the past 3 years. Canada's economy is accelerating closer to its historical pace. On the macro side, employment and inflation are supportive.
Corporate fundamentals -- across the US, the eurozone, and Japan have been coming in well above expectations. Guidance for the remainder of the year has been very strong.
Markets -- broadening out.
In the US, there's a one-time tax break coming around April that will provide a boost.
For the Canadian consumer, we're seeing about 100 bps of interest rate easing and downward momentum in terms of inflation. That will benefit the Canadian consumer, as will some of the spillover effect from fiscal announcements.
The key thing to know is that the effect of monetary policy is immediate (floating rate mortgage, line of credit, etc.). However, it's imprecise.
Fiscal policy is very precise, but it makes its way into the real economy at a much slower pace. It can have a lower material impact over a longer period of time. Think defense spending, housing, key federal projects, support for the auto sector. These will be tailwinds for the consumer in the years to come.
Drawdown related to AI pressures on software. Looks relatively compelling, but think twice about what you're trying to get from the stock. A growthy stock, tends to be volatile. Great business, outlook looks fairly reasonable.
Can use AI to leverage benefits of its business.
He bought it. It was one of the best stock for nearly a year to suddenly the algorithms deciding to spook everyone about real estate to trigger a sell-off. Nothing in the chart now is based on reality. He bought this morning. It's an easy trade. What is AI replacing here? Will we see empty skyscrapers? That's insane. Human beings are social animals.