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Today, Larry Berman CFA, CMT, CTA and Jim Cramer - Mad Money commented about whether SONY, CUBE are stocks to buy or sell.
Time to pardon Jay Powell. He's not a criminal. Powell says that Trump is putting him under criminal investigation for not cutting interest rates fast enough--and he has a point. If this is such a big deal, why didn't the stock market react today? Wall Street is betting that the prosecution won't happen. Even Republican senators are pushing back against the prosecution. Besides, Powell's term ends in 4 months. Also, Trump usually changes his mind, such as last spring's tariffs. To prosecute Powell would end the independence of the Fed Chair--not good. Secondly, Trump wants credit card companies from charging more than 10% interest. Congress needs to pass that law. Again, Wall Street doesn't care, because the threat is too over the top. The bank stocks fell in the morning, then rallied later. If Trump gets his way, he's only mandating a crash where these companies stop lending.
TNZ released a corporate update on Jan 10. It outlined its potential production growth and investment attributes. The presentation was received very well by investors.
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Pipelines are more dependent on oil volume rather than price. Most pipelines are at capacity with long term contracts. If more. oil flows from Venezuela it may result in lower prices, and valuations might be pressured. But cash flow is not likely to be hugely pressured, and any impact is not likely to be quick. US companies maintain that Venezuela is still 'uninvestable' despite what the administration says. It is not as simple as just turning on the taps.
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Management is solid and there has been recent insider buying. The balance sheet is very strong and good earnings/cash flow growth is expected. It can't control commodity prices but can control its costs and production (both good). The dividend is well-covered and has growth potential. Stock momentum is solid. It may be an acquisition target. Its drilling has shown good success and its assets are quality producers. There is a lot to like here.
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There is no surprise that gold is rallying with the geo-political risks and a stimulative US budget along with an increase in defense spending. So there should be a continuation of what we had in 2025. If deficit spending continues along with the other factors we will see inflation pressure. One of the benefits of increased spending on defense, etc. is for the banks, since spending will move through the system. We are not going to see a lot of nonperforming loans. The wealth effect should see some capital investment, capital goods, and infrastructure plans. The US mid-terms will be in November next year and if Trump loses he will be lame duck president. Tariffs will remain status quo for Canada and he is surprised the market is up as much as it was last year in the face of these tariffs.