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Today, Stockchase Insights and Richard Orrell commented about whether HMP.TO, SPGP, ZUQ.TO, VEQT.TO, XLV, UBIL.U.TO, NASA, CDZ.TO, XEI.TO, XQQ.TO, DRAM, XSP.TO, CHPS.TO, QQC.F.TO, BTCX.B.TO, SHLD, ZGRO.TO, ENCC.TO, XEG.TO, XEQT.TO, HHIS.TO, GBUG, SPCX are stocks to buy or sell.
SpaceX raised a record $75 billion at a ~$1.77 trillion valuation (pricing at $135/share). Shares began trading on Nasdaq under $SPCX, quickly popping 20%+ (trading around $164–$172 intraday, pushing market cap above $2 trillion). This is the largest IPO in history by a wide margin. Social media sentiment is highly positive and hype-driven. Posts celebrate the "historic" debut, Musk becoming a trillionaire (per some estimates), first-day gains, memes, and comparisons to meme stocks or tech giants. Some caution about volatility, "rug pull" risks, or long-term valuation concerns, but enthusiasm dominates.
What they do and services they provide are fascinating to watch. Valuation is extremely rich. Price is up a bit from IPO price. His firm isn't participating quite yet. It will eventually trickle into ETFs, it's been fast-tracked into the NASDAQ 100, not yet in the S&P 500.
The more it goes into ETFs and indices, the more those have to buy it. And that supports the stock. Part of the attraction is Musk, and part of it is FOMO. Money will be made, and money will be lost. The initial over-subscription will push up the price, but where does it go in the longer run? It's wait and see for him.
He's been on the trading floor and around IPOs. That's where the sharks are, so you really have to have a solid system in place to deal with the whipsawing. You really have to know what you're doing.
These are big numbers, and it's just mind-boggling. He just hopes that investors don't get caught up in it too much. Keep an eye on how it trades and how everything trickles out.
Key word in the description is "active", compared to a number of passive ETFs in the space. It means a few additional expenses. Around only since early 2025, so not a long track record yet. Outperformed market since inception, but lagged a bit in last year.
If you're dead set on investing in those companies, it's an option. You just have to keep monitoring it. Personally, he'd wait for a 3-5 year track record to see if they're adding the alpha that they're promising. "Active" doesn't necessarily mean they'll beat the benchmark.
He prefers to be involved in the outright metals, because a lot can go wrong with individual companies and foreign jurisdictions.
38 years old suggests a fairly long time horizon. This ETF has 20% fixed income (to dampen volatility) and 80% equity (for growth). Good building block for a long-term portfolio. Not a good option for saving to, for example, buy a house. Usually pretty low MER.
We've had lots of conflicts and we'll see how they evolve. He's not a policy expert, but we've seen so many drones come in. Iran sending out $30k drones, and the US shooting them down with $1M missiles, doesn't make sense in the long run. The nature of warfare is evolving. And that's why he prefers ETFs for this space, he doesn't know who the winning companies will be.
A good example to know what you own -- you can go online to research. He's not familiar with this one, but most hold actual bitcoin. Lots of volatility. He trades bitcoin more than anything else; hasn't held bitcoin for a few months. Bitcoin chart not looking good, might find some interest later this year.