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The market seems to be saying the war will have little impact going forward, but the oil market is different. The narrative coming out of the White House changes by the war. Futures were down overnight after Washington announced the blockade. As long as the impact is only temporary (a few months), then earnings will matter more. Many companies won't be reporting to the end of March, though a few are. Immediate impact of this war: inflation and higher interest rates. Companies like trucking will be impacted and those with huge capex, too, as rates go up, until there is a lasting resolution to this war. Long-term, if December oil prices break above $80, then there'll be more permanent damage; if it falls below $70, we're past the worst of it and things improve.

For any infrastructure ETF, are you buying utilities or infrastructure? Look closely.  Infrastructure offers dividends and less volatility. CIF has had a good run and there's not much room left. Doesn't love this. Are better ways in the private sector to play this space. 

 Loves it. He helped create this ETF. Half this is long with a covered call and the other half is selling puts to buy stocks at lower prices. It targets 6% returns or more. Is tax-efficient to get exposure to foreign stocks. There are currency-hedged and non versions. 

It offers global exposure. Are better stocks for income portfolios, but nothing wrong with this. 

We've passed peak demand for traditional carbon-based energy. The future is renewables. So, commodities are cyclical, with peaks and valleys. The chart since 2022 reflects this. Is not a long-term hold, but FRU is a trade. He wouldn't add money to energy now, which has had its run. 

This is priced in already, so this ETF has been sideways the past year. This could reverse with the next US president, after Trump, though. 

He loves precious metals. But they are cyclical and have gone years with terrible performance, as history shows. The US debt story is now coming to roost, and is the biggest catalyst in recent years for metals. The story isn't over. If you're long for 10-20 years, buy the dips. If you're holding 1 year, he doesn't see precious metal prices moving much. 

 Equal-weight vs. market-cap weight, that's the difference. Both are defensive, pay good dividends and have had good runs. He would trim utilities and get more into software tech. He wouldn't enter this now. Doesn't see another run ahead. 

 Equal-weight vs. market-cap weight, that's the difference. Both are defensive, pay good dividends and have had good runs. He would trim utilities and get more into software tech. He wouldn't enter this now. Doesn't see another run ahead. 

 Chart says it's very oversold. Is attractive around US$30-35. It will likely fall more. 

Mitigating portfolio risk when fixed income won't: the uncorrelated asset class. ETF QAI offers a balance, steady return, outperforming money market or bond market ETFs or commodities. Also hold a world stock ETF and a market neutral ETF. Uncorrelated asset classes can give you growth and reduce risk. 

It has sold off too far, foo fast because of the AI scare. William's seasonality chart shows that SHOP rallies 70% of the time between April and August and goes into overdrive in May. Also, the stock is undervalued, and in the past it rallies when undervalued. Third, market professionals have been buying the stock. Fourth, cycle lows in the past four years show that those are good times to buy SHOP, such as now. SHOP touched a new closing low last Friday.

Shares have zoomed over 1000% the past year, lifted by Nvidia's deals for Coherent and Lumentum and the data centre boom, and a partnership with Tower Semicondutor. However, LWLG is losing money and the price has run up with low earnings. And will their proprietary materials be stable over time? They've made progress in reliability, but still have a ways to go. That said, AI infrastructure is a good space to be in. Shares can keep ripping, but it's shot up too fast and Nvidia and Lumentum are better ways to play this space.

It'll problem bounce to $30, then sell. Accounting irregularities mean sell in his book.

The estimates for the next two years are too low. Their glass will take over data centres.