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Today, The Monthly Gems by Allan Tong and The Panic-Proof Portfolio (Stockchase Research) commented about whether MAL.TO, XLI, HCRE.TO, IYT, KINS, V, CF, VIK, X.TO, BHP are stocks to buy or sell.

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Curated by Allan Tong since 2019.
99+ opinions with 4.15 rating.

TOP PICK

The best way to play copper is Australia's BHP Group, the biggest copper operator in the world with half of its current earnings derived from the mineral. The company just reported. Profits of US$9.8 billion rose 9% over the past year while revenue gained 15% to US$58.8 billion. EBITDA was US$33 billion, while net debt was below US$9 billion.

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It's a Monthly Gems opinion which is available only for Stockchase Premium

Curated by Allan Tong since 2019.
99+ opinions with 4.15 rating.

TOP PICK

Earlier this year, the TMX was a victim of both the SAASpocalypse and fears of the prediction market eating the TMX's lunch. Neither has happened nor will happen. The TMX will continue to enjoy high margins in data analytics and its proprietary software. Since bottoming in late June, X-T shares have rallied 20%. Problem is, shares have nearly returned to previous highs. A breakout is possible, but a more likely time to buy is during a pullback.

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It's a Monthly Gems opinion which is available only for Stockchase Premium

Curated by Allan Tong since 2019.
99+ opinions with 4.15 rating.

TOP PICK

Carnival, Royal Caribbean and Norwegian are the biggest cruise lines in the world in that order, altogether taking 88% total market share. So, where does this leave Viking?With a 4.2% global share, but roughly 25% of the luxury market. In fact, Viking operates in a luxury niche in cruising, famous for its European river excursions. Ads show wealthy senior couples gazing at the Budapest skyline as their ship floats down the Danube. Last year, 102 ships generated $5.4 billion in revenue at a 95% occupancy rate, with nearly half of those passengers being repeat customers. These are mostly rich travellers 55 years and older who like Viking's bundled shore excursions, no-kids policy and no casinos. Customers aren't looking to party, but to chill and explore. As society grows older, this audience will grow, even though cruise lines are a competitive business.

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Curated by Michael O'Reilly since 2020.
1550+ opinions with 4.81 rating (one of the best performing expert).

TOP PICK
Stockchase Research Editor: Michael O'Reilly

As one of the world's largest nitrogen producers, CF is well positioned for the continued global fertilizer shortage through 2027.  Recently reported earnings showed strong free cash flow, with growing reserves and shares being aggressively bought back.  Further production expansion is coming to further add to cash flow.  It trades at 13x earnings and supports a robust 39% ROE.  We recommend setting a stop-loss at $109, looking to achieve $160 -- upside potential of 18%.  Yield 1.5%

(Analysts’ price target is $124.21)
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Curated by Michael O'Reilly since 2020.
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TOP PICK
Stockchase Research Editor: Michael O'Reilly

With quarterly transactions setting a record $4 trillion, we reiterate V as a TOP PICK.  Revenues in advisory and security services grew 34% -- showing more runway for growth.  It trades at 32x earnings and supports a robust 60% ROE.  We recommend trailing up the stop (from $335) to $350, looking to achieve $440 -- 18% potential upside.  Yield 0.7%

(Analysts’ price target is $423.40)
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Curated by Michael O'Reilly since 2020.
1550+ opinions with 4.81 rating (one of the best performing expert).

TOP PICK
Stockchase Research Editor: Michael O'Reilly

We reiterate this property and casualty insurance provider as a TOP PICK.  Recently reported net income hit an all time record high.  Homeowner claims were down 34%.  It trades at 8x earnings, 2.2x book and supports a 31% ROE.  Quarterly cash reserves are growing, while shares are bought back.  We continue to recommend a stop at $17, looking to achieve $24 -- upside potential of 21%.  Yield 1.0%

(Analysts’ price target is $23.99)
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Curated by Michael O'Reilly since 2020.
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PAST TOP PICK
(A Top Pick Jul 29/26, Down 0.3%)Stockchase Research Editor: Michael O'Reilly

Our PAST TO PICK with IYT has triggered its stop at $84.  To remain disciplined, we recommend covering the position at this time.  When combined with previous guidance, this will result in a net investment loss of 2%.  

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Curated by Michael O'Reilly since 2020.
1550+ opinions with 4.81 rating (one of the best performing expert).

PAST TOP PICK
(A Top Pick Apr 28/26, Down 2%)Stockchase Research Editor: Michael O'Reilly

Our PAST TO PICK with HCRE has triggered its stop at $31.  To remain disciplined, we recommend covering the position at this time.  When combined with previous guidance, this will result in a net investment loss of 4%.  

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Curated by Michael O'Reilly since 2020.
1550+ opinions with 4.81 rating (one of the best performing expert).

PAST TOP PICK
(A Top Pick Aug 11/26, Down 5.2%)Stockchase Research Editor: Michael O'Reilly

Our PAST TO PICK with XLI has triggered its stop at $176.  To remain disciplined, we recommend covering the position at this time.  When combined with previous guidance, this will result in a net investment loss of 4%.  

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Curated by Michael O'Reilly since 2020.
1550+ opinions with 4.81 rating (one of the best performing expert).

PAST TOP PICK
(A Top Pick Jul 30/26, Up 35%)Stockchase Research Editor: Michael O'Reilly

Our PAST TO PICK with MAL has triggered its stop at $34.  To remain disciplined, we recommend covering the position at this time.  When combined with previous guidance, this will result in a net investment gain of 50%.  

COMMENT

The rotation began in mid-June as the momentum stocks took it on the chin, rotating into materials and healthcare and coming out of utilities, especially the last 6 weeks. Seasonally, September sees weaker performance. Then there is the US election this making. The environment is weaker. But we saw strong growth in corporate earnings, and saw a correction in tech. Will there be more rotation? Higher valuations are a concern, but bull markets don't end on valuation--there needs to be another catalyst to end a bull market. Some tech names now have lower valuations and look attractive. He's looking at materials (Canada) and healthcare (US).

WEAK BUY
now called Avanti Helium

They drilled their wells, found helium, then sought production facilities and funding. Now, they are getting those facilities commissioned, then they will get cash flow, which will allow expansion. In recent years, the stock has seen fits and starts, has been low, but now are at a place of cash flow later this year into 2027. 

WATCH

Expectations were very high. They're selling major agreements with large franchises, but now are selling that product into restaurants, which will be a slower process. The market got ahead of itself in terms of revenue and cash flow. This will take a little longer than expected and the stock will drift. Will probably see a blow-out quarter when the market will be attracted to this again.

DON'T BUY

Is a volatile trading stock. Long term, they will provide another source to drive vehicles. But the stock tends to make big run-ups, then pulls back. It depends on the market's risk appetite at a given time. He's owned this a few times and can be frustrating.

BUY

A 10-year overnight success. They're been building their business in Uzbekistan and Kazakstan. They sell natural gas, including the latter to generate a diesel alternative. Diesel is in short supply in that part of the world. They will make LNG onshore, not shipped. This is great. Also, they have amazing levels of lithium brine that could develop later.