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Today, The Panic-Proof Portfolio (Stockchase Research) and Nick Mersch, CFA commented about whether FLNC, EME, TSM, OKLO, MU, MSTR, NVDA, MSFT, NET, ORCL, CLS.TO, META, CSU.TO, SHOP.TO, PANW, ZST.TO, CIU.PR.A.TO, SLF.PR.D.TO are stocks to buy or sell.
Tech saw a pullback last November over investor concerns of return on investment by these companies. However, we're in the data centre building phase now--look at the performance of GE Vernova and Vertiv, for example. AI adoption is coming but this year you can earn returns on stocks focused on the build component. Look for bottlenecks in the overall AI complex. For instance, storage; Sandisk and its peers are soaring. Where is the demand/supply mismatch? The adopters of AI, like healthcare will accelerate in the second half of this year.
The Canadian darling with a great CEO. It is integrating, not fighting, AI platforms--good, and OpenAI is shifting towards shopping, which favours SHOP. SHOP is partnering with Google to achieve this. Meanwhile, Meta is investing heavily in AI to create more-targeted advertising. Shopify benefits from this without spending a dollar.
CSU lies at the center of the AI debate concerning software. Their organic growth is slowing a lot. Software developing costs are falling to zero, so a lot more companies are building this software themselves. Maybe CSU continues to buy small companies. There are many question marks about CSU, including what is the moat? Cheap doesn't mean valuable. But he hopes CSU rights the ship.
A little concerned. Last May-October the stock soared because their ad business was taking off with stellar revenue growth. Problem is Meta is adding a lot of debt, and it lacks a cloud business unlike peers like Google and Amazon. Meta is in the penalty box because their core AI model hasn't shown improvement, but they have hired an all-star development team.
A winner in the AI build-out: cloud infrastucture, high-speed networking and other AI-related systems. Also, they supply aerospace/defence where defence budgets have increased. Third, they're in healthtech devices. All businesses are drivers, especially AI. A lot of growth is baked into the stock, but buy on any dips, on headline about any data centres being delayed.
They're putting their eggs into one basket, OpenAI, to build its massive infrastructure. They carry a lot of debt and lack the cash flow of the hyperscalers who are building data centres. To raise funding, Oracle issued debt. Credit default swaps on this debt blew out. Also, the Google vs. OpenAI rivalry happened, with Google outperforming OpenAI. However, Oracle is hiring Microsoft engineers to build the data centres, so if they pull this off, there could be a lot of upside. Don't count them out, but it wouldn't hurt to de-risk and trim your position.
The CEO is a rockstar and their gross margins remain huge. Blackwell chips were just unveiled but we haven't seen a Blackwell model come out yet. NVDA will continue its stranglehold and has a lot more pricing power. But watch competition, their margins and see how the next system rolls outl
The memory storage business is historically cyclical. They are on fire now because there's a massive memory shortage. It also happened during Covid when people are stuck at home on computers, then these stocks sold off in 2022. We will be undersupplied for a long time. (PCs and computers will get more expensive.)
We again reiterate this preferred share from SunLife financial paying a perpetual dividend with a good yield. We recommend maintaining the stop at $20.50, looking to achieve $25.00 -- upside potential of over 15%. Yield 5%