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Today, The Panic-Proof Portfolio (Stockchase Research) and Jason Del Vicario commented about whether ODDITY TECH, CDI.PA-O, META, ORCL, GAW-LSE, NVDA, HEI, BB.TO, ATD.TO, 1523.HK, CSU.TO, NVO, SHOP.TO, IBM, TECK.B.TO, BYD.TO, HPS.A.TO, PAYC, RY.TO, FFH.TO, KNSL, IESC, MNT.TO, COPX, U.U.TO are stocks to buy or sell.
The US-Canada trade war doesn't change his positioning. He's long term, 5-20 years, so he accepts all manner of macro events. So, he finds businesses that withstand all macro backdrops. The investing greats generally hold a concentrated portfolio and hold them through ups and down. The average holding period for a stock was 5 years in the 1970s, and today it's 10 months. So, it's a competitive edge to hold long. His two main criteria for a stock: the executives and board must be strongly aligned with minority shareholders (meaning they own a big stake in the business); and boast over 20% return on invested capital, which often have moats or other competitive edges.
He doesn't think that way--rising yields, so buy an insurance company. He just bought KNSL, which is founder-run and -owned. They have a strong track record. Have been buying back shares. For any insurer, look for the combined ratio (underwriting profit + operating expenses), which is 75% for KNSL, which means they're making money.
Their return on capital over the years is in the mid-teens. Valuation matters. Banks don't meet his criteria. The returns aren't as consistently high as he likes. The primary wealth-building tool of the banks are the executive salaries and bonuses, not the appreciation of shares. RY is the leader in Canada.
He doesn't own resource stocks, because they lack a consistent return on capital and they carry a lot of debt. Also, resource stocks rely on commodity prices which are beyond their control. Doesn't know about the tax situation in this merger.
It was a past winner in diabetes treatment, but has lot some edge in the obesity space. They are losing market share to LLY. Only 5% of obese people use GLP-1 drugs, so the pie will grow much larger but more competitors will appear. He likes that there's some insider buying, through the foundation, but it's indirect ownership. The PE is only 11x PE and pays a 4% dividend. The downside is limited, but the upside is big.
Uranium is just now starting to rally along with other commodities offering a good entry level. U.U is the largest public holding of physical uranium in the world along with a low-MER of 0.35%. Currently trades at a 5% discount to its NAV. We recommend setting a stop-loss at $18, looking to achieve $25 -- upside potential of 20%. Yield 0%