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A lot of it, but not all, is definitely stemming from earnings. We're in the throes of a barn-burner of an earnings season. There's good fundamental support for higher share prices.

But there's another side. There's renewed interest in all things AI, and that's really driven the recovery from the selloff in hyperscalers. The elephant in the room is hopes for peace in the Middle East. Markets are clamouring for that to be a done deal and have priced in a resolution.

Almost certainly the prices of oil and liquified natural gas will settle in a range above where they started. But there's wild volatility. Yesterday, between his going to work and coming home, the price of gas near his house dropped 12 cents a litre. The price of energy is also implicit in the price of all manufactured goods.

A certain amount of destruction has occurred in the Middle East region that's not just going to come back online overnight. Estimates are in the range of 3-5 years for some facilities. There's a long tail to this war in terms of supply chains.

No real concerns. Probably good long-term hold. Predominantly nat gas with a bit of renewable energy. Half its business now in the dynamically growing, data-centre focused US. 

Trades ~27x PE, premium to historical norms. Compound return over last 10 years is an impressive 21%. Chart looks good, management is pretty good. Yield is ~4%, with good cadence of dividend growth.

He prefers another name.

Conference call commentary on supply-chain bottlenecks sent the stock down. Demand vastly outstrips its ability to meet it. Part of big data centre buildout. EPS grew 33-35% in latest quarter, and sales growing quite quickly.

Guidance just "maintained"; but company has history of giving conservative guidance and then surpassing expectations. If not owned, pullback probably good entry point.

NVO chart's under pressure. Where are we in the saturation cycle for GLP-1 penetration? Also, what will the price/volume dynamics be, since NVO kicked off a price war?

LLY has the better position in terms of branded drugs. Hasn't pulled the trigger on either.

NVO chart's under pressure. Where are we in the saturation cycle for GLP-1 penetration? Also, what will the price/volume dynamics be, since NVO kicked off a price war?

LLY has the better position in terms of branded drugs. Hasn't pulled the trigger on either.

Deal is all but certain to be completed, competing offer not especially likely. He'd hold on and wait for the gap to close between today's price and the offer.

May represent a turning of the tide that Canada is once again investable. That we're going to get out of our own way and build things like the LNG terminal (in which SHEL has a stake) on the West Coast of Canada, which will surface value from our abundant resources.

Broadly bullish for natural gas producers in Canada.

He'd look to deploy $$ right here, right now, at today's price. Making higher highs and higher lows. Acquisition last summer very synergistic and strategic. Best-of-breed player in its industry. He expects activity to pick up in Western Canada Sedimentary Basin.

#2 market share (at 13%) in EVs in the States behind TSLA. Throttling back EV aspirations, still mostly about internal combustion. Street's expecting compound earnings growth of 13% over coming 3 years (pretty good for a mature industry). Trades at 6x PE. 

Pretty good chart. A MAGA-protected stock. Cyclical tailwinds. He's not averse to owning.

Mea culpa, not a timely pick. The AI bear was let out of the cage almost immediately after this pick. Still holds because his firm just doesn't believe AI will totally disrupt these vertical-market software firms.