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Microsoft, Amazon, Netflix and other tech names are getting rotated out and into defensive stocks, like value and dividend stocks. Also are seeing flows out of the US and into Canada. She's nervous about the markets, but less so about the Canadian. Valuations are historically high in energy, but where else can you put your money? The energy trade isn't over yet (i.e. Enbridge). Gold is the flight to safety, but how safe is it when multiples are this high? She likes Canadian banks, but have moved up so sharply the past year so won't buy them short term, but likes them long.
It could be a takeover target, though she doesn't own it for this reason. It did well last year, up 40%, but lagged its peers. It has a history of two dividend cuts. They've done a good job cleaning up the company by selling their renewables and are keeping hydro assets for now to become a pure-play utility. They are doing the right things. It's a new, different company now. Is the cheapest pure-play utility in Canada now. Is very bullish with utilities given data centres and the move away from fossil fuels.
They reported earnings last Friday, then shares jumped 4%, but fell that much today on downgrades. They delivered on their quarter. Pays a 5% dividend that keeps growing based on growing cash flows. What's wrong with this? A lot of their capex are small and low-risk. Lots room for growth and add-ons.
Is one of her largest holdings. The latest rally is great, though is down today on a downgrade based on valuation. Would buy it today. Maybe is fairly valued now. Was paying a 5.5% and now a 4.8% dividend which is sustainable. Gas volumes are rising. Take or pay contracts fund their dividend; they get paid regardless. Would own this forever. Reasonably valued today.
Strong managers. Canadian banks took a lot of loan loss provisions last year, so decreased their earnings pre-emptively. A short report accused GSY of misrepresenting their loan losses., but that noise has faded. Too early to buy these risk-in assets, too early in the credit cycle. The banks are ahead of themselves, and Goeasy is riskier.
It was undervalued before and overvalued now. Likely to return to the low $30s. Legacy projects during the pandemic (input and labour costs) weighed on them and they took losses, but this is now over. Their growth projects are public, where demand keeps rising, and in nuclear. Plus, they have no deals in the US. They never cut their dividend. Happy to own this.
Pays a 0.23% dividend. It's a good company, but a bad stock. Is well-managed. For many years were doing a good job of vertical integrations which saw high valuations, just when the AI boom took off. Canada has few Canadian tech names, and now tech is selling off. They grow by M&A, which can be risky. Now might be an attractive entry point, but not for her.