Today, The Weekly Buzzing Stocks by Billy Kawasaki and The Panic-Proof Portfolio (Stockchase Research) commented about whether NRIM, EWW, XLV, AAAU, RDDT, NBIS, SPCX are stocks to buy or sell.
Equities are starting to see competition from other asset classes, given the yield you can get on "risk-free" assets. A lot of the focus is short-term -- oil, inflation, etc. But the US government has a lot of debt. At the same time, demand seems to be weakening structurally for bonds.
We've had a weaponization of the US dollar. Whether it be sanctions on Russia, China, etc. Then there are all the tariff issues we've had with (supposed) allies of the US.
Central banks are wondering if they want to have that much tied up in US treasuries. They're still buying, but not at previous levels. At the same time, supply is booming with all the hyperscalers raising money. Demand/supply doesn't look great.
It's something that's been grown, rather than crafted, so we don't know quite what it will look like in the end. In a conflict with two intelligent things, the one of far superior intelligence will win.
At the beginning of the week, a number of prominent investors came out and said that we need to have guardrails to slow things down. If that leads to slightly lower growth and demand, it might end up not being a bubble that pops, but that growth gets normalized. And that could affect profitability across the whole sector.
They're long-term investors. Whenever we talk about metals, it always seems to focus on the demand. For copper, demand seems fairly robust. The supply side is what makes him positive. Some institutions are talking about a major undersupply by 2035. It takes about 20 years to get a mine going.
Likes it over the long term. You could buy FCX, the heavyweight player. Also LUN or HBM in Canada, which are smaller and faster-growing. You might also consider an iShares ETF -- diversified, you don't have to worry about jurisdiction risk or individual mine risk.
Retail is a hard gig. Quality operator, very nice locations. Sales growth running ~30% for the past couple of years, but that will slow to some extent. Both his wife and his daughter can shop there and come home with something :) Stock's not expensive. No obvious threats.
Be mindful of your position size.
Expects it to have very good growth for many years to come. (You won't get TSLA for free; there will be additional shares issued or some such arrangement.) Competition is way behind, but will increase. Chasm between the hyperbole and the numbers.
Not even close to being interested, even if valuation fell by half. TSLA had similar hype -- an idea that would come about in the future, with no competition, and it'll make "lots" of money (but margins are less than most car manufacturers).