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Latest Stock Buy or Sell? Make More Informed Decisions!

Today, Lyle Stein commented about whether GOOG, SIA.TO, AEM.TO, RIO, CPX.TO, HON, ATD.TO, PEY.TO, GNRC, ALA.TO, CCO.TO, VET.TO, PRL.TO, AMZN, BYL.TO, BCE.TO, HSBC, PPL.TO, CNQ.TO are stocks to buy or sell.

COMMENT

He's cautious for 2026. Earnings and capital markets have been very good in 2025, especially for Canada. The U.S. 10-year yield can't break 4%, which is a barrier to investment. Earnings growth always looks for the coming year. Fundamentals of rates and earnings are merely okay. There's so much uncertainty, starting with tariffs. Will we get a US Supreme Court judgement this or next month? What will happen with inflation? Will companies raise prices? The Fed will look at numbers and wait. What will happen to oil if there's a peace agreement? And to the US dollar? Interest rates have never been more important given so much debt. Suppose borrowing costs rise? Debt is important. We have a K-shapes economy: people with assets and people who don't own houses or stocks and are not participating in this economy. There's a growing discontent in the latter. He will sit and watch.

DON'T BUY

He holds natural gas, not oil, stocks. CNQ is the big player in Canadian oil, though the stock hasn't done much this year. Canadian oil is seeing a renaissance. Pays a nice 5% dividend yield. CNQ is a nice, integrated, go-to oil name.

DON'T BUY

It pays a nice yield, but lacks a catalyst. He prefers natural gas names in energy. Also, what will happen in Venezuela?

BUY

Is a leading bank in Europe. He missed the rally in bank stocks this year which benefited from falling interest rates. Valuations in Europe are better than in North America.

DON'T BUY

He avoids telcos. BCE is tied to the Canadian economy, of which he's not optimistic about it. The cell phone business is now competitive. The days of a regulated utility are over. They bought a US company to get growth. 

COMMENT
PM Carney's effect on Canadian banks?

Carney is a lot better than the previous PM, so this is positive. However, Canadian banks aren't yielding 4-5% like a year ago, but 3%. Our economy is bleeding jobs, and there are problems with real estate. The jobs being created aren't replacing the ones lost. He'd rather get a higher yield from a utility or pipeline than a bank.

DON'T BUY

He avoids smaller, less liquid stocks. BYL has $55 million annual revenues, which is small. Not for him or his clients.

COMMENT

The Mag 7 are losing momentum. Growth potential has been great, but is declining now. They face a problem in all the energy needed to power the AI stocks. Amazon has been a laggard among peers. But its retail business generates revenues to offset potential weakness in other business, something that Amazon's peers face.

WATCH

Fintechs intrigue him. Their loss loan provisions are high, but PRL turns their loans so often that they make money. Momentum has come out of this stock. Wants to see more clarity before entering this. Likes what they do in fintech.

WEAK BUY

It's struggled the past two years. He bought it when Russia invaded Ukraine. The market didn't like VET buying a company to bring more nat gas into North America. Over the years, they've done an amazing job returning money to shareholders, so managers are good. Pays a 4% dividend, so he's being paid to wait. He would buy at this level.

PAST TOP PICK
(A Top Pick Feb 07/25, Up 75%)

It was quite interesting that they bought Westinghouse and now they hold 50% interest in the "arm supplier" to the nuclear business. Anything growing that involves nuclear with touch Westinghouse--he saw this as a growth avenue. CCO has a stable cash flow. Nuclear is a long-term growth industry because AI centres need power.

PAST TOP PICK
(A Top Pick Feb 07/25, Up 22%)

Is holding on. Data centres need nat gas power. ALA distributes to Virginia, home to 50% of US data centres. They also export propane and liquids to Asia. The yield has declined though.

PAST TOP PICK
(A Top Pick Feb 07/25, Down 2%)

There were no hurricanes, tornadoes or mass outages which usually drive this stock. He sold this at $160. Is a bit of an AI play; they make generators for data centres.

COMMENT
Replace bonds with gold or split them?

How much do you need for income? How much to protect your portfolio from calamity? Bonds don't pay yields like 4% and bonds also face more risk from inflation uncertainty. You buy gold to protect from inflation or geopolitical uncertainty. He holds 20% gold and 20% bonds in his portfolios. He wouldn't move his bonds into gold, but keep above-average gold for protection.

STRONG BUY

A great nat gas play. He bought this 2 years ago when it paid a 14% yield. Concerns over capital structure are gone, because of earnings they've made the past two years. Is a go-to name in nat gas.

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