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Today, The Panic-Proof Portfolio (Stockchase Research) and Colin Cieszynski commented about whether TSLA, GM, GOOG, POW.TO, CHE.UN.TO, ATRL.TO, SHOP.TO, CPX.TO, FFH.TO, MG.TO, ZCH.TO, TMUS, AEM.TO, HBM.TO, CNQ.TO, MDA.TO, CSU.TO, NFi.TO, DHI, PPL.TO, CVE.TO, NCSM, PSHG, DFDV, ACIC are stocks to buy or sell.
We're in a correction now with a broad-based sell-off and overdue. The six-month period this year was incredibly strong, including October when it's traditionally weak. Seasonality has gone off. The US government shutdown and earnings season are over, so not unusual to see a correction now. Earnings were pretty good, but investors now see valuations a little stretched, so they're lightening up their holdings. Utilities have been volatile both ways, rallying on the data centre spend, but now softening. Similar story with precious metals, though tied to the USD's moves and whether the US Fed will cut next month, which is looking less likely.
Energy has been doing well on a relative strength basis. There's a change in leadership, given weakness in tech, AI and industrials. Defensives--financials, healthcare and energy--are doing well, however. Energy is doing well despite the oil price going nowhere. The CVE chart is nice with higher highs and higher lows, but testing restistance now at $25.50.
A cup-and-handle pattern is long-term bottoming pattern where you have a large, rounded bottom (Dec-Aug), then a smaller, higher rounded bottom (Aug-Oct). He's concerned that the chart broke under $150 a few weeks ago instead of bouncing off it. It's trending lower and could return to $120-130. $150 was the breakout in August. It's failing to form a cup and handle pattern, still in a downward trend. What could be hurting is the Fed signalling that it may not cut interest rates or will be less likely to.
A struggle. He owned his twice this year. Hard to own. Very volatile this year. The current collapse concerns him. It took Feb-June to bottom out, so it may take several months for this to bottom out. The chart shows a Triple Waterfall, so a third down leg could lie ahead. He wouldn't return to this until it bottoms out and shows relative strength.
Is a little concerned with the chart. It's had a very good run this year, from $15 to $25, but we're seeing a correction in metal stocks. The chart has a double top now, unable to break $25 twice. The floor is $20-21, but if it falls, it could fall back to $15, a real risk. Watch this to see if it holds $20.
He sold it last May when its relative strength weaken. Investors bought it for safety, but as markets recovered, TMUS drifted lower. The last week as tech has fallen and volatility risen, defensives like this are picking up (and energy and healthcare). He'd rebuy if its relative strength returned.
This Florida based insurance provider just reported record quarterly earnings, a 16% increase in net income, and growing cash reserves. Now that the seasonal hurricane season is past, its smooth sailing -- and its negative beta to the market is noteworthy. It trades at 8x earnings, 1.7x book and supports a robust 29% ROE. It paid out a special $0.50 per share dividend in January 2025 and could likely do that again in the new year. We recommend setting a stop-loss at $10, looking to achieve $14 -- upside potential of 19%. Yield 0%
(Analysts’ price target is $14.00)