Today, John Stephenson commented about whether SHEL, KEY.TO, AQN.TO, SDE.TO, VET.TO, BLU.V, TPZ.TO, ENB.TO, WCP.TO, CVE.TO, PEY.TO, TVE.TO, HAL, SOBO.TO, CNQ.TO, SU.TO, DVN, FRU.TO, CCEC.TO, BTE.TO, NVDA, TA.TO, VLO, PXT.TO, HAM.V, KEL.TO, SGY.TO are stocks to buy or sell.
Inexpensive. Trades 9.5x EV/EBITDA, whereas competitors are 11.5x. Great upside. Linked to Alberta power prices, which have fallen ~30% YOY (will rise over time). Numbers last quarter were 8% above consensus. Good links to AI and data centre buildout. Yield is 1.46% (more of a capital gains story than a yield story).
(Analysts’ price target is $23.18)This story has everything, but has the potential to be extremely destabilizing. It's a risk for the markets because the Chinese wouldn't have spent the billions they did if they weren't getting inside information.
The story has real legs and real implications. These advanced AI chips are everywhere in government, so it's worrisome.
General uncertainty around the commodity, as there's been for the last 9 months. Not going to see the end anytime soon. Even if we did, we're still in a higher-price era. Lots of damage done to infrastructure in the Gulf, which will take months (if not years) to repair. That puts a premium on oil for many years.
As well, this has shown Iran that it can control global oil prices. Even if peace breaks out, that risk premium will remain. Favourable geography allows them to close the Strait. Every time prices spike, the whole world is on edge.
The whole region is vulnerable. No one contemplated the type of attacks on facilities, so they weren't built to withstand that. So much of the world's production and reserves are concentrated in that one narrow region, yet many of those countries don't have robust military forces in place to protect themselves.
Iranians have learned what they can do. Now their goal is to push America out of the region. Many places that have been housing US bases have been coming under attack from Iran.
Still has tremendous upside. His target price is significantly higher. Disappointing that it did financing (especially right after he'd made it a Top Pick). Having to raise $$ is typical of these small, pre-revenue companies.
Lots of projects in the hopper. Nat gas prices are much higher in Europe than in NA. Longer-term story. He'd hold on, stock's pretty much at a floor.
A very smart way to go. You get diversity, and don't have to worry about company-specific risk.
However, you do have to worry about concentration. A broad analogy is that if you buy the SPY, you think you're getting a broad basket of S&P 500 companies. But all the growth has actually come down to 7 (maybe 10) tech companies.
If you don't spend the time looking under the hood, you don't really know what you're getting.
Struggled the last few quarters on the stock price. Overall, excellent company. Lots of good production coming on. Reported good numbers. No reason not to own. Coming in here after it's tumbled a bit might set you up nicely for the next quarter or two.
May be a broken stock, but not a broken story. Oil and gas pushing higher are positives.
(Note the short timeframe.) Stick with it, great name. Bit of volatility, true of a lot of the O&G names with crude coming off in the last few weeks.