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Trump's efforts to tame gas prices is in vain. There's no short-term fix before the U.S. Midterms in 2 weeks. Siding with Putin in the Russia-Ukraine war could be the knife in the back for Trump. Given where the US economy is in the first two years, and the Republicans will lose the House to the Democrats, there's no saving grace for Trump anymore. His political capital can be measured on one hand. This week, he's waiting for what the big tech companies say when they report, namely how much capex they will spend next year. Even if companies beat and the guidance looks fantastic, investors remain concerned, because valuations are so rich. The question is: When will these companies become profitable? It's coming, but don't know when. The data centre pushback is already effecting the market, but AI is real an will have a big impact on eeryone.

He's been writing puts to buy it these days. Likes the valuation now. It's a growth story, so he buys on pullbacks, but it's also cyclical consumer.

It peaked earlier this year. Each time it's tried to rally this year, it has sold off to a lower high, and whenever it's tried to rally, it reaches a lower high. Over 5 years, the trend remains up. If you believe there's a long-term trend for nuclear power, stick with it. But he doesn't see the world returning to nuclear in a big way. This correction period could see more downside.

It depends on what you need. ZBAL-T is more tax-efficient; when you ultimately sell it, you get a higher capital gains. It doesn't earn that much, so it pays out more than it earns. ZPAY does pay that much, and is tax efficient, if you don't mind current taxes as opposed to deferred taxes.

 It depends on what you need. ZBAL-T is more tax-efficient; when you ultimately sell it, you get a higher capital gains. It doesn't earn that much, so it pays out more than it earns. ZPAY does pay that much, and is tax efficient, if you don't mind current taxes as opposed to deferred taxes. 

Great valuation. He's been buying it. He could be a bit early, and the stock could go lower. Shares are down because of tax-loss selling. Maybe wait a little more before buying.

It's a way to play the Collateralized Loan Obligation (CLO) space in the U.S., but it's volatile given the currency difference between the U.S. and Canada. The hedged version is a little better.

This relies on the quarterly re-funding announcement in the U.S., which is the day after the U.S. Midterms, Nov. 4. This is less about the next rate hike, and more about will the Treasury cut the supply of long bonds to the market? Though painful, this is one of his favourite trades now, but this will give you a great total return in a few years.

Doesn't like it because it's so heavily weighted to the banks, almost 50%. Just buy banks instead. If the economy softens, the bank sector is pricing in a lot of good news right now. Also, if the wars end, then energy prices will fall. So, there's a high risk among Canadian dividends for these two reasons.

Over the past year, the price of the ETF is -17%, but the total return is under 10%. This explains HHIS's 27% yield, which is generated by the options. The way the options are written means you will lose a lot of your capital each year. Plus, they charge you a high MER. Doesn't like it.

All the AI is causing a demand shock to the market. Meanwhile, the polymarkets predict a 65% chance of the Democrats taking the Senate, and a complete (91%) chance the Democrats take the House. This means gridlock in Washington which is very good for stock markets, though this market is different given the concentration in AI, which has caused huge returns in recent years. It's projected that US$878 billion will be spent on AI capex in 2027. The AI trade is the only thing keeping the economy going. So many sectors, like housing, are in recession while the US deficit is running at 6% of GDP. Meanwhile, we have to double energy production by 2030 to feed data centres. All this is inflationary. We're reaching an inflection point where the US S&P equal-weight ETF is the better buy and no longer the laggard.

See how their earnings go. Don't sell it yet. Shares are very cheap, and just had a nice move off the bottom on nothing.  

Is -45% this year. It sells for much more than all other bank stocks. Shares are falling with the sector, and won't rebound until the sector does. He doesn't see a big rally coming.

Likely to go higher. Is up 115% in the past 6 months. 

It reported Sept. 23 and shares bizarrely declined 9% after posting a revenue miss in their core business. It's since recovered that. They delivered a solid earnings beat and overall revenue was slightly better than expected. Their management solutions business came in light as was guidance for the quarter. They just introduced AI into their operations.