Microsoft Corp (MSFT-Q)

Shares are back to July 2024. Will this be closer to $300 or $500? The easy answer is $500. $300 would mean a lot of fundamental concerns on the macro side of the market. Look for guidance ahead. Are they still on schedule to spend $13 billion this year? And what will they get in return for that? Their last Q4 revealed that their AI business surprisingly surpassed their revenue run rate of $13 billion, which was a lot sooner. Companies like this are spending alot, but they are making money back in AI.

Its AI platform isn't that impressive, and MSFT has missed estimates 3 times now. It will stay a dog if it misses again.

People are taking profits in the Mag 7. Still a top pick. AI-cloud dominance and smart investments are driving their growth. Financial strength keeps them steady in uncertain markets. Her price target is $480, another 25% upside. You could add to your position now.

MSFT is phasing out Windows 10 and pushing the 11 upgrade.

Priced well now. They will and are participate in AI. A great operator.

You're buying this at a lower multiple as recently as January. If you think earnings will hold up as well as AI and data centre spending, this makes sense.

They have lots of cash and downside protection; their office products are monopolistic. Also, growth comes from gen AI and the cloud. Is a defensive play. Yes, they had a period of dead money, but the price is now attractive.

One of the Magnificent 3 he owns out of the Mag 7. Likes the secular opportunity in cloud computing via Azure, plus entrenched dominance in business and household applications. Stalwart grower, undemanding valuation.

He's selling a March covered call, $420 strike, and expiring March 21.

He has owned this for a long time. The issue is partly AI and worries about how it can use AI effectively. Also its $80 billion in capital expenditures. This can hurt margins and free cash flow but Capex is coming down. It is big on the institutional side and we should see the value of that next year.

One, a monster quarter, which he expects including a little lift in their Azure cloud business. MSFT is talking a lot about quantum computing, and a lot of people see them as the reserve for quantum (and be the Defense Dept.'s go-to for quantum, which he doesnt buy), but estimates in this area are low, which could be another catalyst.

Stock pulled back 6% on the January reporting, attractive entry point. Cloud computing grew 31% instead of the 32+% expected. She thinks 31% is still pretty decent. Spending on data centres increased quite a bit. Management believes growth will pick up in latter part of this year. 

Tends to invest in a company, such as LinkedIn, before it becomes mainstream. Early investment in AI as well, and well positioned to ride that wave. Strong balance sheet, recurring revenue stream. Yield is 0.8%.

He's long owned this, a major position, and will ride through its peaks and valleys long term. A solid company, trading at a much-lower PE than Nvidia. They will benefit as AI gains more usage. Likes it. 

After the bell, they delivered a strong overall quarter. But investors looked closely at the constant-currency revenue growth of Azure, which slightly missed. Don't do anything until hearing the conference call first (happening now).