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Curated by Michael O'Reilly since 2020.
1550+ opinions with 4.81 rating (one of the best performing expert).

TOP PICK
Stockchase Research Editor: Michael O'Reilly

On the back of continued passenger demand, DAL is a TOP PICK.  We like that the company has been cautiously using some cash reserves to aggressively retire debt as revenues hits all time highs.  It trades at 16x earnings, 2.4x book and supports a 15% ROE.  We recommend setting a stop-loss at $62, looking to achieve $96 -- upside potential of 18%.  Yield 1.0%  

(Analysts’ price target is $102.85)
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Curated by Michael O'Reilly since 2020.
1550+ opinions with 4.81 rating (one of the best performing expert).

TOP PICK
Stockchase Research Editor: Michael O'Reilly

One needs to be bullish steel if you are bullish the US economy.  STLD trades at 18x earnings and supports a 20% ROE.  Recently reported sales were up 35% and steel shipments are at all time highs.  We recommend setting a stop-loss at $210, looking to achieve $289 -- upside potential of 18%.  Yield 0.8%

(Analysts’ price target is $277.85)
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Curated by Michael O'Reilly since 2020.
1550+ opinions with 4.81 rating (one of the best performing expert).

TOP PICK
Stockchase Research Editor: Michael O'Reilly

We again reiterate XLV as a TOP PICK.  This low-MER ETF holds numerous pharma and health-care companies, which tend to out perform during periods of recession making this a defensive holding.  Revenues have been growing in the sector, especially in obesity drugs with plenty of runway.  We recommend maintaining trailing up the stop (from $161) to $167, looking to achieve $212 -- upside potential of 18%.  Yield 1.3%

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Curated by Michael O'Reilly since 2020.
1550+ opinions with 4.81 rating (one of the best performing expert).

PAST TOP PICK
(A Top Pick Jul 16/26, Down 11.2%)Stockchase Research Editor: Michael O'Reilly

Our PAST TOP PICK with BLX has triggered its stop at $53.  To remain disciplined, we recommend covering the position at this time.  When combined with previous guidance, this will result in a net investment gain of 14%.  

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Curated by Michael O'Reilly since 2020.
1550+ opinions with 4.81 rating (one of the best performing expert).

PAST TOP PICK
(A Top Pick Sep 24/26, Down 7.8%)Stockchase Research Editor: Michael O'Reilly

Our PAST TOP PICK with XLC has triggered its stop at $105.  To remain disciplined, we recommend covering the position at this time. 

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Curated by Michael O'Reilly since 2020.
1550+ opinions with 4.81 rating (one of the best performing expert).

PAST TOP PICK
(A Top Pick Sep 15/26, Up 97.3%)Stockchase Research Editor: Michael O'Reilly

Our PAST TOP PICK with ANDG has achieved its target at $65.  To remain disciplined, we recommend covering half the position at this time and trailing up the stop (from $53) to $56 at this time.  

COMMENT

The market is volatile. Everyday there is a sector or theme that works: one day AI works, the next AI isn't working, then it's energy or the hyperscalers, then not. We're all slaves to the algo trading and causes people to lose focus on long-term investing. He doesn't trade every two seconds; he focuses on the fundamentals, on quality businesses, over 3-5 years, companies that can grow EPS 10% annually and cash flow. He won't overpay for the enthusiasm for potential AI growth.  He's attracted to niche US software and IT now, and the hyperscalers.

BUY

They're driven to buy Cumberland Farms. on top of a deal in Poland of more convenience store, also for $8 billion. ATD won't get onto a bidding war, but make an offer. They can walk away and bide their time. They can make many tuck-in acquisitions. They're more likely to issue debt than shares to pay for them. Their same-store sales growth the past 3 quarters has improved dramatically. Loves the company, and it's poised to break out after closing one of these deals. 

WEAK BUY
Can AI help them?

Absolutely. Shares have fallen with software companies, but the price has stabilized. The narrative has to be disproved that AI won't eliminate some of their services in software and engineering. This will take time. WSP is an indispensable company. WSP is attractive, but he prefers software to engineering now. Is WSP as good a capital allocator as some of the companies he owns? However, there's no evidence that AI will impact the software and engineering companies. In fact, there are improvements because of AI. He's not in engineering now, but he's quite bullish the space because of the overall economy.

HOLD

They do credit scoring and they've held a monopoly for decades. However, the regulatory environment has been very hostile to FICO; allegations of being an abusive monopoly are exaggerated. Once Trump leaves office, FICO will be in a position of tremendous growth and will still growth earnings, but now it's tough to own this stock. He's owning this long term. FICO will not raise its rates to appease Washington.

DON'T BUY

The private credit market, when interest rates rise and the economy is tougher, is risky. Better to own alternative assets through Brookfield and BAM.

PAST TOP PICK
(A Top Pick Feb 02/26, Up 26%)

He can't believe the market pushed this down to $400. The story then was that MSFT had too much tied to OpenAI, and that AI would disrupt their software business, Narratives change. MSFT is growing top and bottom line at a huge rate. He's own this since 2012. They will continue to see big earnings growth and deliver enormous free cash flow. Once the data centres are built, the hyperscalers will be the big winners.

PAST TOP PICK
(A Top Pick Feb 02/26, Down 1%)

Fundamentals are incredible. There is no challenge here. It's growing at double digits and trading at a lower PE than before. It boasts 95% recurring revenues. Hedge funds and ETF depend on their services.

PAST TOP PICK
(A Top Pick Feb 02/26, Down 23%)

The fundamentals are as good or better as people have hoped. But there are worries that people are watching YouTube and no longer Netflix, but this is not in the numbers. These things reverse very quickly. Look at Google's stock. He thinks Netflix will grow at double digits for many years.

WATCH

He loves its Starlink business, and wishes he could buy just that. The problem is, he doesn't know enough of its space business. He can't model its earnings yet. He will watch and research it. It's a cult stock and doesn't trade at a normal valuation. It's too speculative and if he owed it, it would be a small holding.