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It's had a really big move. Now back to where it was at the beginning of the month. It felt good on the way up, but it's not quite as much fun on the way down. Volatility of gold has really picked up, so not surprising at this level to see these bigger movements. We need the volatility of gold to slow down a bit so we can determine where things are at.
On the longer-term technicals of gold, this recent move barely shows up. That said, changes in the short term always lead to changes in the long term. In the last little bit, gold has gone parabolic and, with that, people piled in. Just took a little bit of downside momentum for people to want to lock in profits.
With the shutdown in the US, we haven't seen data on the commodities and futures exchanges to see what's going on with producers versus speculators of gold. Once that data gets updated, it'll be interesting to see the flow of funds.
He watches a number of technical indicators that provide a bit of warning that momentum or liquidity is starting to come out of the market. These indicators also chart the overall trend. So far, not seeing anything concerning. Trend appears to be intact.
We haven't really had much of a pullback. A pullback of 5% at a time doesn't really show up on these indicators. But something to always be prepared for and take advantage of it when it happens.
So, given that the indicators are still positive, he'd be looking to add on any pullback in any specific areas.
Transformers for power generation and storage. Did phenomenally well as the whole electrification of the economy got underway, and that trend isn't going away. Fundamentals have now caught up to the stock, and it looks about to accelerate. New plant is finished. Tailwinds should last for some time.
Reports later this week.
Lots of high-tech applications, not just balloons ;) Took longer than expected to secure an offtake agreement, but now they have one. Now the task is to install small production facilities that sit on-site. Plan is to get the facility up and running, start producing, get cashflow, and then pursue longer-term contracts at higher prices.
Targets online market for both contacts and glasses. Can't argue with the management team. Facility in Vancouver lets them produce more cheaply. Margins tend to be fairly low, and these get squeezed temporarily with each new stage of company expansion, even though that increases revenue. Next goal is $500M in revenue. Suspects it will be taken out in a few years.
On his radar. He keeps tabs on it every quarter.
Uses AI with its global library of medicine that it custom-built over 8 years. Different from using ChatGPT, which looks everywhere trying to find an answer. They've run the program through the 12 patient scenarios given to med students, and it scored well enough to pass the exam.
Doctors like it because it helps with triage. Insurance companies like it because it cuts down costs. Has proven itself in Canada, and now going after the bigger market in the US -- starting to add the who's who of insurers such as UNH, Medicare, Medicaid, and HUM.
He wanted to use it as a Top Pick today, but it's just a bit too small of a market cap.
Stock's about 40% off its highs, but sounds as though the business fundamentals haven't really changed. Might be contagion from difficulties of US sub-prime lenders. He understands that PRL's actually been tightening up who it gives credit to. If so, could have a really strong quarter.
Believes it reports first week of November. Then we'll have a much better perspective on revenue, earnings, and credit.
His shop covers about 2600 companies in NA, and they rank them every day. The top is still dominated by gold stocks. Even though the price of gold fluctuates, the trend is still up. So gold companies can sell at the current price, though their costs haven't gone up (and may actually have gone down). Which means that their profitability continues to be really strong.
This name ranks right at the top of his rankings along with the other gold stocks. Hard for him to give specific advice on an investor's holding without knowing how it fits into the whole portfolio. Increase in the price of gold is increasing the earnings potential of a lot of the gold companies.
If that starts to change, that's when he'd look to remove those positions and go somewhere else. Short-term volatility in gold can be fairly severe, as we saw with yesterday's move. It can be unnerving.