Stockchase Opinions

Larry Berman CFA, CMT, CTABMO S&P/TSX Capped Composite Index ETF.ZCN.TOCOMMENTSep 28, 2026

XDIV vs. FXM cs. ZCN as interest rates rise

XDIV holds high-quality dividends, FXM is a value tilt, while ZCN is the broad TSX.  In terms of rising rates, XDIV holds a lot of energy, but is effected by what's happening in the Middle East, not rates. ZCN holds energy, but less than XDIV, though many more banks and financials, which are sensitive to interest rates. When rates rise, seek value stocks, and those tend to be gold stocks. It's a complex question. Seek value stocks.

$47.69

Stock price when the opinion was issued

$47.26

As of Sep 29, 2026. Market Open.

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COMMENT
XDIV vs. FXM cs. ZCN as interest rates rise

XDIV holds high-quality dividends, FXM is a value tilt, while ZCN is the broad TSX.  In terms of rising rates, XDIV holds a lot of energy, but is effected by what's happening in the Middle East, not rates. ZCN holds energy, but less than XDIV, though many more banks and financials, which are sensitive to interest rates. When rates rise, seek value stocks, and those tend to be gold stocks. It's a complex question. Seek value stocks. 

BUY
ZCN vs. ZDV

ZDV has no covered writing, nothing fancy. Financials are ~41%, energy ~18%. In a correction, generally the dividend stocks do better because they have the cash yields attached to them. Also because it usually has a greater weighting in utilities (these still provide needs, not wants, in a downturn). 

ZCN has less exposure to financials or to the dividend side of the equation. Has fewer utilities. More oil & gas, gold, metals, materials. In a resource boom, and with all the things tied to AI, this one will do better.

COMMENT

When you buy an ETF from a BMO or Blackrock, it will be well-capitalized. Don't worry about bid/ask spreads or liquidity. ZCN is the Canadian benchmark. Don't worry about capitalization. ZCN is a plain vanilla product. He prefers an inverse ETF (see top picks).

BUY
You get the large-cap TSX names. It bottomed at Christmas, rose, had a bad May and rising this month. This is a single-take solution for Canadian stocks. A caveat: these are large-caps, not small, but this should do well.
WATCH
Broad exposure to Canadian ETFs. It is close to all time highs and so is not attractive. This is not the time to buy it. It would be more attractive at the lows of last year.
BUY
This is close to the TSX 60 ETFs, like XIU. This is an index play on Canada. Buy and hold it. A great core holding.
BUY
Like any of the others broad TSX composite index. A good core holding. Cheap.
BUY
One of five ways to get pure, low-cost, passive Canadian ETFs like VCN. Canada's markets are mostly financials and energy which can be volatile. But these ETFs are perfectly fine. Charges only 6 basis points.
PAST TOP PICK

(A Top Pick, Jun 29/17, Up 7%) It is a core allocation for him in the Canadian potion of a portfolio. Have more than 5-20% Canadian exposure.

DON'T BUY

XIC-T vs. ZCN-T. He does not know the difference between them. The Canadian market is the least diversified in the world. He does not want to own anything that tracks the TSX unless we are in boom time in the banks or commodities. He does not invest in ETFs.

TOP PICK

XIC-T is also the same index, but these are the goto names for low cost in the Canadian market. Very low MER. You can supplement this with factor strategies.