
Partner and Portfolio Manager at Harris Douglas Asset Management
Member since: Feb '04 · 3929 Opinions
When there's chaos like this, there are always opportunities. If you like a certain company, these are opportunities to buy cheaply (on price or valuation). You may, for example, think that its earnings won't be impacted negatively by what's going on.
It's hard to do when stocks are falling precipitously. But if you've done your homework, here's your chance to buy at prices you may not see again for a while. That said, you may have to suffer them going down even more from where they are now.
One reason is that the TSX was up a lot last year and this. A lot of the valuations were very high, so that creates some volatility. Gold and resource stocks are slowly getting beaten down.
It's a weird time. Usually with these events the USD strengthens, which is not really happening. And interest rates go down a lot, but that's not happening either.
We also need to look at the VIX, which is only at 25. Needs to be much higher for people to say "I'm out of the stock market".
No. Once things start to settle down, you'll see oil start to fall back very quickly. Oil may be stuck here, as the conflict looks as though it may go on for longer. But it's dangerous to buy oil stocks now.
In reality there's lots of oil around, and that's what's been keeping the price lower. Recent spike is simply due to what's going on in the Middle East.
Even in 2025 they were bad. Job growth has been negative, which people have been dismissing. They (Fed included) have been saying the job market is stabilizing, but it's not. It's gotten worse. Bond market's doing a bit better today, as people feel that rates may come down because of that.
Losses were broad-based -- banks, construction, manufacturing, leisure/hospitality. Productivity numbers, though, are better. This may be the nascent beginning of what AI is doing to the job market.
Did the right thing by making a bid without destroying their balance sheet, and then pulled away. They get a $2.8B breakup fee. Still the largest streamer in the world. Great business, continues to grow.
Given what it paid, Paramount's going to have to do a lot of work to make the acquisition accretive.