Mad Money Host at CNBC
Member since: Sep '20 · 7075 Opinions
Is +23% in the last 3 months. Last year was rough with -20% earnings, but last February they reported in-line sales and a big earnings beat. Last May, they reported another revenue beat and earnings beat. Also, they maintained their full-year sales outlook and raised their FY earnings forecast. Tariffs are not all good for ROK; some customers in cars are delaying plans (makes sense), and ROK must pay tariffs on cell phones and components. But if we see a huge wave of re-shoring to the US, ROK will be a winner.
China: The US needs their rare earths for smartphones, semis, EVs, lasers, fighter jets, tablets and other devices. What were we thinking when we slapped tariffs on China before settling the rare earths issue?? Brazil: Need an immediate deal with them, because they have one-fifth of the world's rare earths. Vietnam: Also we need to strike a quick deal with them for their rare earths. Australia: same.
47% of their business is defence, 17% civilian, 15% energy/environment, 11% intelligence and 10% space. Clients include NASA, Air Force and federal agencies, so they depend on government contracts. Defence is a solid business, unless Washington reduces this spend. Last earnings were good: beating revenues and earnings and reiterated full-year guidance. However, the growth rate disappointed the street and DOGE threatens to kill some of their government contracts, though he thinks that's overblown. ACM has longstanding relationships with government agencies and they have a huge order backlog. He wants to see their big shareholders reduce their stakes before jumping in, but this is worth watching.
Was downgraded last Friday and today over fears they won't meet expectations this quarter, including disappointment over MCD's new chicken strips dish, that it won't turn things around. Rather, customer prefer heavily breaded chicken and the find these strips ugly. However, history says it has never paid to downgrade MCD. It's the king, offering good value and is highly well-run. The CEO will figure it out.
A spec name. It's losing money, but today it proposed a public offering of $400 million of common stock in a smart move to give them plenty of breathing room. Shares soared nearly 30%. They just won the contract to power an Alaskan Air Force base.