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Curated by Michael O'Reilly since 2020
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Stock Opinions by Jamie Murray

COMMENT

He's been expecting--and is positioned for--interest rate cuts. Powell is set to do this in September. He's a long-term bull and cuts will boost the forgotten stocks of the last 18 months. Megatech still has great value (i.e. Microsoft, Apple) at decent multiples. Nvidia's report will be influential, of course. He's bullish utilities and REITs. The market has been expecting a wider slowdown for 2 years, but the decline in inflation is allowing banks to cut rates and re-stimulate demand.

Unknown
COMMENT
Ovintiv

They refocused operations on the Montney and are pushing strong into the US (Utah, the Permian Basis). It's been rangebound like all energy stocks since 2022, but the free cash-flow yield is a high 15%. They have quality assets, but are in no-man's land (changing the company name and pushing in the US) and not a focus for Canadian energy investor and lacks the scale of US peers. That said, is a good operator run by a good CEO. Not his preferred energy name.

0
BUY
Uber

Self-driving cars will drive growth. Profits are pointing higher. He expects up to $10 billion free cash flow by 2026 that he expects they will spend on growing more. Revenues will grow double digits. If EBITDA is 25x, stock will double or triple from here. Regulatory is normalizing.

Technology
WEAK BUY
Granite REIT

Benefiting from lower interest rates, rising 10% in the last 1.5 months. Industrial REITs were strong during the pandemic and are slightly softening now. Doesn't follow this name much anymore, but the rising tide of lower rates will lift REITs. Magna remains a key tenant, but GRT is slowly untethering from Magna.

property mngmnt / investment
BUY
Tourmaline Oil Corp
TOU vs. Arc as natural gas companies

Both are the gold standard in nat gas. TOU slightly underperforms. Valuations of both are stretched. ARC has done well with some projects that were brought onstream. Owns TOU now, and Arc in the past. Both are good to buy and will perform.  The price of nat gas is low, so this will benefit will the price rises. 

oil / gas
BUY
Arc Resources Ltd
TOU vs. Arc

Both are the gold standard in nat gas. TOU slightly underperforms. Valuations of both are stretched. ARC has done well with some projects that were brought onstream. Owns TOU now, and Arc in the past. Both are good to buy and will perform. The price of nat gas is low, so this will benefit will the price rises.

oil / gas
WEAK BUY

If nat gas spikes to $5, this might give you a higher return. It's smaller than Compares to Tourmaline and Arc which have scale in their projects.

oil / gas
HOLD
HEICO CORP

Apart from the most recent earnings, the street loves this name. Selling plane parts, it benefits from the shortage of new plays and increased plane repairs. They have mini-monopolies on these parts and is pushing prices aggressively, a good business model. The valuation has run up, though. He isn't looking at this now. Prefers Raytheon for its performance. You're fine to keep holding it though.

transportation equip & components
BUY
Mastercard Inc.
Visa vs. Mastercard

Prefers Mastercard for its higher growth rate over the last 5 years. Visa sees more regulatory challenges in the US and UK, and are more exposed to debit cards which is seeing regulation pushback on those fees. MA is more exposed to European markets where the cash-to-card conversion is still going, offering growth. Both companies enjoy great margins and are layering on extra services. A slowing consumer may slow growth rates from 12% to 8-10% in revenues, a slight, but not major headwind.

other services
COMMENT
Visa Inc.
Visa vs. Mastercard

Prefers Mastercard for its higher growth rate over the last 5 years. Visa sees more regulatory challenges in the US and UK, and are more exposed to debit cards which is seeing regulation pushback on those fees. MA is more exposed to European markets where the cash-to-card conversion is still going, offering growth. Both companies enjoy great margins and are layering on extra services. A slowing consumer may slow growth rates from 12% to 8-10% in revenues, a slight, but not major headwind.

other services
SELL
Bank of Montreal
Shares are falling after reporting today

He sold after their last quarter, based on problems with their US credit side with higher loan losses. They just completed a bank acquisition in recent years. They wonder if they have a handle on their new businesses. An analyst downgraded before the latest results, which are worse than expected. This will be in the penalty box for a couple of 2-3 quarters. Won't buy the dips. He bought TD instead.

banks
BUY
Toronto Dominion

He recently sold BMO to buy this. Last week, TD offered a lot of clarity by warning of potential losses from the their US money-laundering issue.

banks
BUY
Bank of Nova Scotia

It'll have a long turnaround, but it's the cheapest Canadian bank with great Canadian operations.

banks
DON'T BUY
Transalta Corp

Has been rallying the last 3-4 months based on rate cuts. Has exposure to the Alberta power market which has seen prices under pressure since 2022. Prefers Capital Power.

electrical / electronic
BUY
Capital Power

Likes their strategy of buying natural gas assets which need a new contract, buying them at a low price. CPX has good performance and pays a high dividend. Supplying data centres is a tailwind.

electrical utilities
Showing 1 to 15 of 662 entries