Chief investment strategist at Hightower
Member since: Feb '22 · 94 Opinions
Just bought it, because they're increasing their backlog a lot as orders rose from 2-7% in the last quarter. Are benefitting from the electrical side and power quality plus they have aviation/aerospace exposure, industrial areas she loves. She just started with a partial position.
Just bought it after the January numbers came out; cash sorting was much better than expected at $6.8 billion on their balance sheets though $9 billion was expected as clients suffer FOMO and are buying stocks. But this helps their net interest income and net interest margin.
Remarkable story and she expects a good quarter and upside surprise. Trades at 11x earnings while the group is 9-11x. She prefers Home Depot, the laggard, but likes housing overall due to the housing shortage in the U.S., especially when rates come down.
Nike reported and disappointed. Shares falling 11% today. She was terrified going into the quarter, which wasn't terrible. Expected flat revenue growth, yes, but profits beat her expectation. But the outlook was not good. She expects they'll eventually reach around 10% growth, but doesn't know when. They have a product cycle in 2024, but that will take time to get into the system. It's dead money for 6 months or more. This remains 27% up from lows. Is taking profits, though is not buying other stocks during this rally. Expectations, especially over margins, were so high going into this report.
Not a cheap stock, but are benefitting from excess inventory of recent years. They increased their comp guidance last quarter from 3-4% to 4-5%, unheard of for them. Has owned this forever. They have pricing power. Buy on the day they report earnings, because it always sells on the news.
She's been trimming this given its strong run. Up 193% this year, but remains cheap at 24x PE and 25% revenue growth which she expects to grow fruther next year.
Trades at 24x forward PE, up because of the VMware deal which is 30% accretive and gets them 50% software exposure in recurring revenues. Not worried that this has run up so much this year. Likes it a lot and owns a big position.
Is flat on the year, despite this rally. Trades at 1x book. Net interest income and expenses for the quarter are in line. Expects the results of their fees to be mixed, but expects more cost cuts as it waits for fees to rise.
Owns a big position. Their November loan balances were up 15% while delinquencies up only 50 basis points. Trades at 16x forward. Likes this.
She sold Chevron to buy more SLB, which is the #1 player in oil field services. Traeds at 17x forward PE. They raised guidance three times this year, yet shares haven't moved. Their technology is not appreciation.
She sold Chevron to buy more SLB, which is the #1 player in oil field services. Traeds at 17x forward PE. They raised guidance three times this year, yet shares haven't moved. Their technology is not appreciation.
Likes it for the infrastructure build-out. Costs are falling while supply-demand is tight.
Overall, she remains optimistic about the economy. Consumer spending, making up 70% of the economy, remains robust, even though the latest travel data shows a decrease in U.S. travel and retail data has been declining too.
It trades cheaply at 9x PE with earnings power of $12/share. They have a $30 billion backlog in auto. So, the Apple deal runs out in 3 years, then they can switch to supplying autos to drive revenues.
She trimmed her holdings a month ago and felt foolish as the price kept rising, but remains a big believer in AVGO. Shares are up 51% in the last 3 months, so expectations are really high, and from 16x forward PE to 25x (2023-4). But it should be around that multiple, because their AI business is only starting, from $7.5 billion to $10 billion (2023-4). Problem is, AVGO didn't raise numbers across all their businesses, some of which are troughing. Software is a home run, though. Share are falling despite beating in their report, but they needed to crush numbers. They've been transitioning from more hardware to more software, which boasts higher margins. she expects double-digit revenue growth.