
Chief investment strategist at Hightower
Member since: Feb '22 · 209 Opinions
Remember, it took Amazon, Google and Microsoft a decade to build their cloud businesses, so this will not happen overnight for Meta, if it happens. It would diversify their companies, so that's good, instead of 100% ads. She's tired of them spending and not delivering he results. So many question marks about how they will grow. She is looking elsewhere. They lost $8 billion on Reality Labs. A headache.
Still owns it. Be careful which tech stocks you own now--some are slumping, some not. Marvell has $10 of earnings power by 2027. NVDA invested in them. Their optical business is poised to grow 50% the next few years. Their custom ASIC business-- they have an 80% market share with Broadcom--is expected to grow from 20% to 100% share. Is up 218% this year and trades at 27x, not cheap, but it is growing.
It will be volatile, down 25% from highs, but had rallied 50% from the IPO price. Set it and forget it, holding for 10-15 years. Revenues could rise 70% and double gross margins by 2030. They have a 90% market share in space, cost advantage given scale, launch costs will plunge from $14 million to $3-5 million in time. Starlink has 10 million customers, expected to top 200 million by 2030. Anthropic and Google are spending $2 billion/monthly renting AI compute.
The product is great, the traffic is strong and same-store sales is growing around 5% and trading at 16x forward PE.