
Chief investment strategist at Hightower
Member since: Feb '22 · 202 Opinions
It will be volatile, down 25% from highs, but had rallied 50% from the IPO price. Set it and forget it, holding for 10-15 years. Revenues could rise 70% and double gross margins by 2030. They have a 90% market share in space, cost advantage given scale, launch costs will plunge from $14 million to $3-5 million in time. Starlink has 10 million customers, expected to top 200 million by 2030. Anthropic and Google are spending $2 billion/monthly renting AI compute.
She added more Netflix and is slowly adding to it. She only recently started buying it for the first time, because it was always too expensive in PE. They're not buying Warners, so their story is much simpler. There's 20% earnings growth, 12-14% revenue group as operating margins expand and resume buybacks. Trades at a not-cheap 29x forward vs. 35x historic. Is still well below highs.
After talking to tech CEOs, she doesn't believe AI will take over their business like PANW's but rather will get even more business as companies use more AI to code. Doesn't see the catalyst with PANW, but fundamentals are strong and product revenues and margins are growing. They will buy back $1 billion in shares. Trades at 10x price to sales (CRWD is at 25x). She will stick with it and will eventually buy more, though present weakness is frustrating.
Automation is in early inning, and this company is growing double digits as margins expand.