
President, Chief Investment Officer at Baskin Wealth Management
Member since: Sep '09 · 2991 Opinions
Restarted share buybacks. Lots of M&A to be had. Growth of 3-5% a year, with a nice tailwind to double-digit earnings growth for a long time. Results starting to improve. Food offerings aren't as good as some US competitors, and it's fixing that. Not exceptionally cheap, but a great long-term investment.
Price has run up. You'd have thought that with the start of a war it would go up more, but it hasn't. He doesn't know what the bull or bear case is going forward. He owns no gold companies.
The only reason to buy is if you have a firm belief that gold prices are going higher, and it's impossible to know.
CEO turned around Domino's Pizza, and that's why he owns the stock. Nothing to fix at Tim's, still working on Burger King. Tim's is undervalued. Headwinds: beef prices are higher, food prices have gone up, delivery costs have increased. Multiple's not high, very well run.
Royalty business, all free cashflow. Spending to spruce up BK should end this year, and cashflow should gush. Yield is ~3%.
The reason he sold is weather. Clear that something has changed, 3 years in a row of it not snowing. Balance sheet not good, but raised dividend. Stock's been crushed. Expects it to be taken out by private equity. Great assets.
If he can't see double-digit, predictable earnings growth of 10% or more, he's not interested.
AI has had no impact on software demand. As a business owner who uses software, there's no way he switching to AI.
Fantastic business. HR and payment systems for small businesses, mainly in Europe. Growing way faster than CSU. Now half the price it was last year. These companies will pivot quickly to integrating AI.
He owned it as of yesterday, and today he doesn't.
Sold, not because it's a bad business or there won't be growth, but it's facing a lot of challenges. Not exposed to fastest-growing US insurer. Lots of people in US are driving without insurance, a real headwind. Long-term, concern is autonomous vehicles and getting into fewer accidents.
Valuation's lowest it's been in a long time. Beautiful balance sheet. Founder still has significant stake in the business.
See his Top Picks to see where he put some of the proceeds.
Results haven't been as stellar as some were expecting, insurance business and other parts haven't been tremendous.
He's excited to see how it does under Greg Abel, who seems to be a terrific operator and is promising to use his salary to buy shares. Share buybacks restarted. Valuation quite attractive here. Betting on growth of the US, and that's a pretty safe bet.
By the way, Buffett's still coming to work every day.