Kim Bolton
Member since: Jun '18
President and Portfolio Manager at
Black Swan Dexteritas
Black Swan Dexteritas
478 Opinions
Latest Top Picks
(A Top Pick Oct 01/19, Up 191%) Glad he still owns it. He targets US$1,100, so there's currently room to grow (not US$903). Has a long runway in secular growth. Their track record of innovation is phenomenal. He sees a much-higher stock price. Their Q2 report said that gross merchandise volume accelerated 119% at a phenomenal annual rate.
(A Top Pick Oct 01/19, Up 150%) He took profits and got back in. Now is a great opportunity to buy during the current pullback. He targets $95. Their software and platform allows automated infrastructure monitoring across the entire technology spectrum, accelerating troubleshooting. Boasted 85% revenue growth YOY in the middle of the pandemic. They're free cash-flow positive and operating margins keep growing.
(A Top Pick Oct 01/19, Down 4%) A cybersecurity stock. Buy on current weakness. $125.70 is his target. Reasonable valuation and solid execution. Good revenue visibility.
Warning about all his top picks: Markets are volatile and demand active management. This current pullback is a buying opportunity for ATVI. Buy a quarter and add at every $7 it falls down. He likes the videogame space, because people are staying at home during the pandemic and are driving subscriptions. New games like Call of Duty will increase earnings, even surprise. (Analysts’ price target is $95.16)
It's the darling of the semis, a super secular growth story. He targets $552.50. With the purchase of ARM, it puts Nvidia in a position of strength to lead the A.I. revolution in the coming years. There are regulatory hurdles and customer concerns, though. Buy a third now, then add another third at $490, then $425, and the final tranche at $350. (Analysts’ price target is $554.47)
Signal
Opinion
Expert
Chart
COMMENT
COMMENT
September 21, 2020
Today's sell-off it a convergence of a lot of stuff that's been building up. It now feels like February into March. He's got put options out there and built up hedges. There are 46 days till the US election. He sees vulnerability to the downside. The catalysts for the recent tech sell-off: valuations went through the roof and central banks issued stimulus and governments offered fiscal stimulus to pump markets. Now, that stimulus is off the table. And the US election is coming up.
Show full opinionHide full opinion
Today's sell-off it a convergence of a lot of stuff that's been building up. It now feels like February into March. He's got put options out there and built up hedges. There are 46 days till the US election. He sees vulnerability to the downside. The catalysts for the recent tech sell-off: valuations went through the roof and central banks issued stimulus and governments offered fiscal stimulus to pump markets. Now, that stimulus is off the table. And the US election is coming up.
STRONG BUY
STRONG BUY
September 21, 2020
He targets $301. Should be a core holding for anyone. It's one of the 10 biggest companies in the world, the king of e-commerce in China. They've transformed from an online distribution platform into a technology enabler, like the cloud and digital payments. It's a broad, deep stock.
Show full opinionHide full opinionHe targets $301. Should be a core holding for anyone. It's one of the 10 biggest companies in the world, the king of e-commerce in China. They've transformed from an online distribution platform into a technology enabler, like the cloud and digital payments. It's a broad, deep stock.
PARTIAL BUY
PARTIAL BUY
September 21, 2020
They use platforms to digitally recreate speakers on stage around the world, using holographic technology for as cheap as $10,000. Clients include multinational financials and pharmaceuticals. The new CEO is building out the salesforce and taking on big clients. He targets 90 cents, more than double the current stock price. Buy a quarter position now, then add if the stock falls lower.
Show full opinionHide full opinionThey use platforms to digitally recreate speakers on stage around the world, using holographic technology for as cheap as $10,000. Clients include multinational financials and pharmaceuticals. The new CEO is building out the salesforce and taking on big clients. He targets 90 cents, more than double the current stock price. Buy a quarter position now, then add if the stock falls lower.
other services
BUY
BUY
September 21, 2020
He also owns Visa and Square. Paypal is well-positioned to grow around digital payments, and it's been a winner as transactions have leapt this year. $220 is his price target, about $40 higher than now. It's a momentum stock. He gravitates to the larger payments companies like this and Square, not the smaller players.
He also owns Visa and Square. Paypal is well-positioned to grow around digital payments, and it's been a winner as transactions have leapt this year. $220 is his price target, about $40 higher than now. It's a momentum stock. He gravitates to the larger payments companies like this and Square, not the smaller players.
BUY WEAKNESS
BUY WEAKNESS
September 21, 2020
He targets $1,770. The stock has always been in his top 5. Buy it around $1,300 or even now but only partially. 80% of revenues come from ads, their cash cow. Uncertain over the length of the current tech meltdown.
Show full opinionHide full opinionHe targets $1,770. The stock has always been in his top 5. Buy it around $1,300 or even now but only partially. 80% of revenues come from ads, their cash cow. Uncertain over the length of the current tech meltdown.
Business Services
BUY
BUY
September 21, 2020
He targets $49.12. They've disappointed the last little while. A new CEO came in last year, and he will likely shakes things up. Topline growth should recover by the end of 2020 as more investments are made. Cisco keeps buying back shares, even during the pandemic. It's a yawner now, but should pick up because Cisco is a massive supplier of 5G which is coming.
Show full opinionHide full opinionHe targets $49.12. They've disappointed the last little while. A new CEO came in last year, and he will likely shakes things up. Topline growth should recover by the end of 2020 as more investments are made. Cisco keeps buying back shares, even during the pandemic. It's a yawner now, but should pick up because Cisco is a massive supplier of 5G which is coming.
electrical/electronic
PAST TOP PICK
PAST TOP PICK
September 21, 2020
(A Top Pick Oct 01/19, Up 191%) Glad he still owns it. He targets US$1,100, so there's currently room to grow (not US$903). Has a long runway in secular growth. Their track record of innovation is phenomenal. He sees a much-higher stock price. Their Q2 report said that gross merchandise volume accelerated 119% at a phenomenal annual rate.
Show full opinionHide full opinion(A Top Pick Oct 01/19, Up 191%) Glad he still owns it. He targets US$1,100, so there's currently room to grow (not US$903). Has a long runway in secular growth. Their track record of innovation is phenomenal. He sees a much-higher stock price. Their Q2 report said that gross merchandise volume accelerated 119% at a phenomenal annual rate.
PAST TOP PICK
PAST TOP PICK
September 21, 2020
(A Top Pick Oct 01/19, Up 150%) He took profits and got back in. Now is a great opportunity to buy during the current pullback. He targets $95. Their software and platform allows automated infrastructure monitoring across the entire technology spectrum, accelerating troubleshooting. Boasted 85% revenue growth YOY in the middle of the pandemic. They're free cash-flow positive and operating margins keep growing.
Show full opinionHide full opinion(A Top Pick Oct 01/19, Up 150%) He took profits and got back in. Now is a great opportunity to buy during the current pullback. He targets $95. Their software and platform allows automated infrastructure monitoring across the entire technology spectrum, accelerating troubleshooting. Boasted 85% revenue growth YOY in the middle of the pandemic. They're free cash-flow positive and operating margins keep growing.
Technology
PAST TOP PICK
PAST TOP PICK
September 21, 2020
(A Top Pick Oct 01/19, Down 4%) A cybersecurity stock. Buy on current weakness. $125.70 is his target. Reasonable valuation and solid execution. Good revenue visibility.
Show full opinionHide full opinion(A Top Pick Oct 01/19, Down 4%) A cybersecurity stock. Buy on current weakness. $125.70 is his target. Reasonable valuation and solid execution. Good revenue visibility.
Technology
COMMENT
COMMENT
September 21, 2020
Competes with Cisco. He targets $41, so there's not much topside left. It's run up a lot. MRVL will benefit from 5G momentum. Has a good business model.
electrical/electronic
BUY
BUY
September 21, 2020
He targets $63.70. Their last reported quarter was weak, but beat the street only because the street had lowered expectations. But this could fuel optimism for the stock. They continue to invest in R&D. It's innovative and diversified to meet customer needs. It trades at only 5x enterprise value to EBITDA.
Show full opinionHide full opinionHe targets $63.70. Their last reported quarter was weak, but beat the street only because the street had lowered expectations. But this could fuel optimism for the stock. They continue to invest in R&D. It's innovative and diversified to meet customer needs. It trades at only 5x enterprise value to EBITDA.
computer software/processing
BUY WEAKNESS
BUY WEAKNESS
September 21, 2020
He took profits recently. He targets $155. 60% of gross profit comes from transaction fees and it boasts a stunning 37% profit margin. It was trading at a discount to its peers, but the stock soared when it reported it was benefitting from the lockdown and e-commerce. Buy it at $130.
Show full opinionHide full opinionHe took profits recently. He targets $155. 60% of gross profit comes from transaction fees and it boasts a stunning 37% profit margin. It was trading at a discount to its peers, but the stock soared when it reported it was benefitting from the lockdown and e-commerce. Buy it at $130.
WATCH
WATCH
September 21, 2020
Competes with Alibaba (which owns 66% of China e-commerce) and JD follows at 24%. It has been growing market share. He owns Alibaba instead. He targets $85.50. This has legs and he watches it.
DON'T BUY
DON'T BUY
September 21, 2020
He owns Activision instead because it has a longer runway of growth due to its forthcoming games. It's traditionally been a toss-up between this and EA. It comes down to runway.
He owns Activision instead because it has a longer runway of growth due to its forthcoming games. It's traditionally been a toss-up between this and EA. It comes down to runway.
computer software/processing
WATCH
WATCH
September 21, 2020
Based in Texas. He owns peers Shopify and Amazon. Amazon does fulfillment and enables e-commerce platform for companies of all sizes. Shopify caters to small/medium businesses. BIGC serves larger companies, including front and back ends. He's watching this.
Technology
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