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Kim Bolton
President and Portfolio Manager at Black Swan Dexteritas
Member since: Jun '18 · 1497 Opinions
Rating Card
| All | 
Rating
| 
Big Win
| 
Win
| 
Neutral
| 
Loss
| 
Big Loss
|  |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4.43 | 224 32.51% | 131 19.01% | 82 11.90% | 128 18.58% | 124 18.00% | ||
| 1 Month | 4.55 | 16 8.38% | 61 31.94% | 50 26.18% | 56 29.32% | 8 4.19% | |
| 6 Months | 4.81 | 61 34.27% | 37 20.79% | 15 8.43% | 32 17.98% | 33 18.54% | |
| 12 Months | 4.78 | 71 44.94% | 19 12.03% | 13 8.23% | 18 11.39% | 37 23.42% | |
| 2 Years | 4.45 | 56 45.53% | 11 8.94% | 2 1.63% | 18 14.63% | 36 29.27% | |
| 5 Years | 3.58 | 20 51.28% | 3 7.69% | 2 5.13% | 4 10.26% | 10 25.64% |
Stock Opinions by Kim Bolton
The Mag 7's multiples are high, but it gives an opportunity to trim some shares. They are the Kings of the market, not just in tech. They deserve these higher multiples going forward, not over-valued. In his AI ecosystem, companies like Nvidia, AMD, MSFT and Amazon lie at the foundational centre, providing the hardware and infrastructure to make necessary machine-learning. The next layer includes IBM Watson and Azure Machine, which provide the training and managing of the ML models. The next layer includes Adobe, Netflix and Palantir, which are the application service providers, which use the ML technology to deliver this across industries and to customers. Overall, this is where people make money in ML while they wait for the large language models to come.
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He did own it, but not recently. It could turn around in 2025. Could be a hold or buy on pullback. Be cautious on entry, though. It's fairly priced now. Buy around $20.50, then $19.
It's fairly priced now. They're Cisco's main competitor. Have done very well. Take profits now, then re-enter around $245, then $225 (note: these values don't reflect the recent stock split). January will be a volatile month; Jan. 20 will be inauguration day in Washington.
People started paying attention to this, because of the hyperscalers use ALAB to make them more efficient in the cloud. He's sold two-thirds of his holding by now. He has a stop loss at $118-120. Don't buy here, but maybe at $100.
Quantum computing now is in a classic hype cycle. Don't take any options. Take some profits. There's a lot of volatility in this space; these companies are not profitable. But in a few years, you will wish you had got in on the ground floor.
Quantum computing now is in a classic hype cycle. Don't take any options. Take some profits. There's a lot of volatility in this space; these companies are not profitable. But in a few years, you will wish you had got in on the ground floor.
Quantum computing now is in a classic hype cycle. Don't take any options. Take some profits. There's a lot of volatility in this space; these companies are not profitable. But in a few years, you will wish you had got in on the ground floor.
Quantum computing now is in a classic hype cycle. Don't take any options. Take some profits. There's a lot of volatility in this space; these companies are not profitable. But in a few years, you will wish you had got in on the ground floor.
The chart is absolutely flowing, but don't buy it now. Don't write any calls, because the stock could take off. Try it at US$3,300 or $3,200 or $3,100. There's support at C$4,200, then $3,750--it shouldn't fall below this.
MU is a trade, not an investment. They design and make chips. The DRAM is its biggest product; but memory chips like this are highly cyclical with changing demand. He sold MU last summer.
Still owns this and CDNS and Ansys stock, a peer, which dominate this space. The stock is stuck because it's stuck in UK regulations, though he expects it to be approved next year. When it does, SNPS will be the king of this space. His price target is $648. They last beat the top and bottom lines. Buy this at $440-460 or even now.
Benefits from the gen-AI revolution, though 70% of their earnings come from AWS, and the rest from their e-commerce. His price target is $246. It's one of his top holdings, though he sometimes buys calls. Buy around $210, but doesn't see it falling below $200.
On Dec. 3, they missed top and bottom lines, but shares actually rallied because the CEO talked about Agent Force which impressed the street. Has a decent runway. Best to buy around $320; it won't fall below $300.
There's something about their management. It has a stable of great products for content creation et al, but they disappoint during earnings; it's how they frame earnings. Their earnings are actually not bad, but they are so conservative that they lower their forecasts. On Dec. 13, they barely beat the top line and were in line the bottom line, but lowered guidance again. Look at Service Now, instead, in SAAS.
He's wanted to own this for a while. They provide supply chain solutions, which is topical. Now, the price is too rich. Earnings are coming up, so wait for that.
