Kim Bolton
Member since: Jun '18
President and Portfolio Manager at
Black Swan Dexteritas
Black Swan Dexteritas
226 Opinions
Latest Top Picks
(A Top Pick Jul 09/18, Up 34%) It was taken out by IBM last fall when he sold it on Oct. 28, 2018. It's a leader on the open source side. IBM bought RHT as a catalyst to get IBM into the cloud. No, he didn't buy IBM, which he sees as a trade, not an investment.
(A Top Pick Jul 09/18, Down 15%) He sold it in the low-$30's. Expect this to swoon and buy in the high-$20s.
(A Top Pick Jul 09/18, Down 40%) He knows the gaming space well. ATVI got hyped last fall. His current price target is $56. The chart has been sputtering as ATV re-organizes. ATVI has had a hard time digesting its merger with Blizzard. But the pivot to mobile is an opportunity for this stock going forward.
His target is $1,350, so it has a long runway. They are best pstioned for digital advertising, but also have the cloud and hardware like the Watch. They are innovative, like developing a miniature radar on your phone. They also have Waymo, leading self-driving cars. (Analysts’ price target is $1321.24)
He's been in and out, sold in March and re-bought in May. He has a US$28.50 target. They are the #1 car chip company in the world and the 8th-largest semi company. He plans to increase his 3.5% position to 5%. (Analysts’ price target is $26.60)
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COMMENT
COMMENT
July 22, 2019
He's defensively positioned in the short-term, with 33% cash. The beta on his holdings are so high. In 2018, we had six corrections between 5-10%. He entered 2019 expecting volatility and it's worked for him. Self-driving cars: Waymo is the leader and pioneer, since 2009, which means they possess 10 years of data.) Tesla relies mostly on cameras to develop self-driving cars.
He's defensively positioned in the short-term, with 33% cash. The beta on his holdings are so high. In 2018, we had six corrections between 5-10%. He entered 2019 expecting volatility and it's worked for him. Self-driving cars: Waymo is the leader and pioneer, since 2009, which means they possess 10 years of data.) Tesla relies mostly on cameras to develop self-driving cars.
Kim Bolton
President and Portfolio Manager, Black Swan Dexteritas
BUY
BUY
July 22, 2019
They report on Wednesday. He's underweight FB. The options bets this week are bullish. Technicals look good and FB has a solid track record of breaking earnings. FB is a good long-term investment.
They report on Wednesday. He's underweight FB. The options bets this week are bullish. Technicals look good and FB has a solid track record of breaking earnings. FB is a good long-term investment.
COMMENT
COMMENT
July 22, 2019
You need a long-term outlook here. It will profit from the 5G deployment that will take 2-4 years and a sizable investment. The semis who supply the 5G will do well, but companies like T-N are the ones investing a lot of money, so they won't see a return for 3-5 years.
You need a long-term outlook here. It will profit from the 5G deployment that will take 2-4 years and a sizable investment. The semis who supply the 5G will do well, but companies like T-N are the ones investing a lot of money, so they won't see a return for 3-5 years.
Telecommunications
DON'T BUY
DON'T BUY
July 22, 2019
They now face a lawsuit, because they missed their subscriptions by 50% and failed to give guidance. Other companies have a better risk/reward profile. It's too pricey now above $300. Also, it's risky if new content in the future will attract huge audiences. You never know.
They now face a lawsuit, because they missed their subscriptions by 50% and failed to give guidance. Other companies have a better risk/reward profile. It's too pricey now above $300. Also, it's risky if new content in the future will attract huge audiences. You never know.
Unknown
COMMENT
COMMENT
July 22, 2019
They were upgraded today, maybe from RBC. He owns MU's peers. MU, even after its recent run, remains pretty cheap. It trades below 8x forward earnings. They sell memory worldwide.
They were upgraded today, maybe from RBC. He owns MU's peers. MU, even after its recent run, remains pretty cheap. It trades below 8x forward earnings. They sell memory worldwide.
computer software/processing
COMMENT
COMMENT
July 22, 2019
E.T.F.'s
BUY
E.T.F.'s
PAST TOP PICK
PAST TOP PICK
computer software/processing
PAST TOP PICK
PAST TOP PICK
July 22, 2019
(A Top Pick Jul 09/18, Down 15%) He sold it in the low-$30's. Expect this to swoon and buy in the high-$20s.
(A Top Pick Jul 09/18, Down 15%) He sold it in the low-$30's. Expect this to swoon and buy in the high-$20s.
PAST TOP PICK
PAST TOP PICK
July 22, 2019
(A Top Pick Jul 09/18, Down 40%) He knows the gaming space well. ATVI got hyped last fall. His current price target is $56. The chart has been sputtering as ATV re-organizes. ATVI has had a hard time digesting its merger with Blizzard. But the pivot to mobile is an opportunity for this stock going forward.
(A Top Pick Jul 09/18, Down 40%) He knows the gaming space well. ATVI got hyped last fall. His current price target is $56. The chart has been sputtering as ATV re-organizes. ATVI has had a hard time digesting its merger with Blizzard. But the pivot to mobile is an opportunity for this stock going forward.
computer software/processing
BUY WEAKNESS
BUY WEAKNESS
July 22, 2019
Sell CGI to buy OTEX? He watches it. OTEX is a leader in its field in Canada, but the stock is pricey. Buy in the mid-$40s. It reports on August 1.
Sell CGI to buy OTEX? He watches it. OTEX is a leader in its field in Canada, but the stock is pricey. Buy in the mid-$40s. It reports on August 1.
computer software/processing
BUY WEAKNESS
BUY WEAKNESS
July 22, 2019
Owns a partial position and sold a third last because it neared his price target of $82.50 and he could sell more at this level again. It's a great payment stock, a disruptor. You could buy this in the low-$60's on a pullback.
Owns a partial position and sold a third last because it neared his price target of $82.50 and he could sell more at this level again. It's a great payment stock, a disruptor. You could buy this in the low-$60's on a pullback.
BUY
BUY
July 22, 2019
E.T.F.'s
COMMENT
COMMENT
July 22, 2019
electrical/electronic
TOP PICK
TOP PICK
July 22, 2019
His target is $1,350, so it has a long runway. They are best pstioned for digital advertising, but also have the cloud and hardware like the Watch. They are innovative, like developing a miniature radar on your phone. They also have Waymo, leading self-driving cars. (Analysts’ price target is $1321.24)
His target is $1,350, so it has a long runway. They are best pstioned for digital advertising, but also have the cloud and hardware like the Watch. They are innovative, like developing a miniature radar on your phone. They also have Waymo, leading self-driving cars. (Analysts’ price target is $1321.24)
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