Senior VP, Equities at Lorne Steinberg Wealth Management
Member since: Feb '25 · 49 Opinions
It's the best Canadian bank performing so far this year, but the worst in 2024. Their US problems are not yet behind them (they have to work through the asset cap, part of the penalty for money laundering). They have limited growth in the US, but also won't need capital to grow. So they could buy back shares. TD trades at a discount, so he likes this for the long term.
The largest miner today, in iron ore and copper. Mining is risky; it takes a long time to see if whatever you dig out of the ground will sell. He likes BHP's diversification. Iron ore is in safer countries, copper not, so BHP is attractive in this way. There remains good demand for copper. Trades at 12-13x PE and nice balance sheet. but a little risky.
The US is their biggest market where there's overcapacity in milk-cheese, so SAP has to work through that. They used to earn 10% operating margins there, but now it's a loss. But if they recover there and continue to grow in Canada and internationally, this will look cheap. The Canadian market is more about retail, not food service in the US, so more stable with more pricing power.
They have a lot of sports titles. They lost FIFA, but have their own soccer franchise, plus baseball and basketball. Sports are steady as opposed to companies depending on a few hit games. Ultimately, someone will buy them out, like Netflix or Amazon or Apple, who could pay twice the multiple.
The former SNC Lavalin which had a checkered history. He likes professional services companies, because there will always be a demand for them. The problem is that occasionally a CEO will take a fixed-price contract that could make a nice margin or lose 5-years' profits. ATRL has been through that. He likes where ATRL is heading. The market isn't afraid of its near-30x PE. Strong growth with 9% margins, which lag its peers like Stantec, but there's little margin of safety here.
Both great, both enjoying growth ahead with much of the world still to adopt cashless payment. MA has seen a little higher growth, but both have good growth and both enjoy 97% gross margins and 67% operating margins. They got knocked about occasionally over fears of regulation. Prefers Visa slightly over its valuation discount. Good to buy either.
Both great, both enjoying growth ahead with much of the world still to adopt cashless payment. MA has seen a little higher growth, but both have good growth and both enjoy 97% gross margins and 67% operating margins. They got knocked about occasionally over fears of regulation. Prefers Visa slightly over its valuation discount. Good to buy either.