NASDAQ:NBIS
Nebius Group (NBIS-Q)
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Apr 12, 2025, 12:00 amThis summary was created by AI, based on 3 opinions in the last 12 months.
Nebius Group (NBIS-Q) is currently seen as a volatile stock with high operational risks, primarily due to its need to demonstrate revenue growth. The company holds a significant amount of cash, which it intends to deploy into data centers to fuel its expansion in the AI-centric cloud market. While some analysts believe there is potential for substantial growth, particularly if they meet the projected recurring revenue targets of $750 million to $1 billion by year-end, others caution about the stock's high valuation. Despite a notable rise in stock price since October 21, concerns persist regarding its financial metrics and the broader market sentiment following recent dark events in the tech sector. As it stands, the pricing is viewed as somewhat inflated considering future growth uncertainties, and the consensus leans toward a cautious approach as the company navigates these challenges.
AI data centre market, along with 4-5 other divisions. Stock's moving now because of AI. Lots of experience in data centres. Last week, won $19.5B contract from MSFT. They also raised $4.5B in capital. So market cap's gone from $2-3B to $20B. Not a slam dunk, but the MSFT deal gives them business for a year and they build out from there.
Research from GS suggests revenue base will go up 26x by end of 2026. Trading at 5x revenue, compared to many peers at 15-20x. No dividend.
The giant recent contract won by the company does require capital, and this is the main reason NBIS has raised close to $4 billion (including the stock issuance and convertible debentures). Considering the stock was only in the $90 range for 24 hours, we think the price is a good deal for the company. Seeing strong institutional investor support after a 50% gain in the stock is a very strong sign. It does not necessarily cap the stock. There are a lot of new shareholders, and if the company continues to execute well they will continue to support it and buy. If there is a second large contract then shares could still do very well. We would be very comfortable holding it after recent events.
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A lot of the market cap is in cash but the company is also going to be deploying that cash into data centers to facilitate their growth in the near future. The operational risk is more from an execution point of view and that the revenues aren't 'there yet'. So, while they have guided to a large ramp in revenues, they still need to show that they can actually deliver this revenue growth and as always, nothing is guaranteed on this front. On top of the operational risk it is also just a volatile stock which adds 'risks' and markets remain fairly skittish on the space since the Deepseek drama a few months back. We think it is interesting under $30. Valuation is a bit of a moving target from data providers, but if the company hits their recurring revenue guidance at year end of $750 million to $1 billion, it would be trading at something around EV/'Sales' of 3.5X to 4.5X.
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Up 108% since Oct. 21. A cloud server. Up 7.9% today. It used to be Yandex, the Google of Russia, which no one paid attention to. They plan to acquire as many GPUs as they can and build-new data centres. Their core is the AI infrastructure business. There's limited financial info, but adjusted EBITDA is -$7 million billion last December. When shares jumped last December, Citron Research recommended it twice, but Citron has been charged with fraud twice in an alleged pump and dump operation. NBIS claims to be close to NVDA, but that is in doubt. It trades at 20x its full-year revenue forecast--very expensive.
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Nebius Group (NBIS-Q) Rating
Ranking : 3 out of 5
Bullish - Buy Signals / Votes : 1
Neutral - Hold Signals / Votes : 1
Bearish - Sell Signals / Votes : 2
Total Signals / Votes : 4
Nebius Group (NBIS-Q) Frequently Asked Questions
What is Nebius Group stock symbol?
Nebius Group is a American stock, trading under the symbol NBIS-Q on the NASDAQ (NBIS). It is usually referred to as NASDAQ:NBIS or NBIS-Q
Is Nebius Group a buy or a sell?
In the last year, 4 stock analysts published opinions about NBIS-Q. 1 analyst recommended to BUY the stock. 2 analysts recommended to SELL the stock. The latest stock analyst recommendation is . Read the latest stock experts' ratings for Nebius Group .
Is Nebius Group a good investment or a top pick?
Nebius Group was recommended as a Top Pick by on . Read the latest stock experts ratings for Nebius Group .
Why is Nebius Group stock dropping?
Earnings reports or recent company news can cause the stock price to drop. Read stock experts’ recommendations for help on deciding if you should buy, sell or hold the stock.
Is Nebius Group worth watching?
4 stock analysts on Stockchase covered Nebius Group In the last year. It is a trending stock that is worth watching.
What is Nebius Group stock price?
On 2025-10-09, Nebius Group (NBIS-Q) stock closed at a price of $132.64.
Data-centre-type company originally from Russia, now residing in the Netherlands. Currently trades at $120. Not much runway to the average price target of $134. Perhaps write some calls, or sell some puts if you want to pick up more a bit lower.
(Analysts’ price target is $134.00)