
Portfolio Manager at HollisWealth
Member since: Jul '16 · 839 Opinions
He doesn't think that way--rising yields, so buy an insurance company. He just bought KNSL, which is founder-run and -owned. They have a strong track record. Have been buying back shares. For any insurer, look for the combined ratio (underwriting profit + operating expenses), which is 75% for KNSL, which means they're making money.
Their return on capital over the years is in the mid-teens. Valuation matters. Banks don't meet his criteria. The returns aren't as consistently high as he likes. The primary wealth-building tool of the banks are the executive salaries and bonuses, not the appreciation of shares. RY is the leader in Canada.
He doesn't own resource stocks, because they lack a consistent return on capital and they carry a lot of debt. Also, resource stocks rely on commodity prices which are beyond their control. Doesn't know about the tax situation in this merger.
It was a past winner in diabetes treatment, but has lot some edge in the obesity space. They are losing market share to LLY. Only 5% of obese people use GLP-1 drugs, so the pie will grow much larger but more competitors will appear. He likes that there's some insider buying, through the foundation, but it's indirect ownership. The PE is only 11x PE and pays a 4% dividend. The downside is limited, but the upside is big.
It's his second-largest holding. The valuation is now more reasonable. There are fears that AI will replace it, but he doesn't see evidence of that yet. CSU owns 1,500 businesses that use AI. He last trimmed it in July 2024. Buy below $3,500 for the long term. Companies can use AI to drive value for their customers.