
Portfolio Manager at Propellus Wealth Partners/iA Private Wealth
Member since: Nov '23 · 293 Opinions
Yes, the PEs are very high and the dividends are very low historically. Any blip in the economy or credit could mean earnings will take a beating. There's little margin of safety on the earnings. Take profits on the banks if you're collecting a huge profit. He doesn't own the Canadian banks now. How much can earnings growth in this Canadian economy?
They transition from hardware to services and software. The stock ran up on the hype leading the earnings, but then that enthusiasm vanished. Any revenue miss impacts earnings and sentiment. IBM is interesting in the long term, but IBM has been considered dead money in the past. You get a decent dividend and management is good.
Managers repositioned the company. A third of revenues are from Europe, where they have big nat gas problems. They have successful discoveries in Germany with smaller productions in France, Ireland and Australia. They're getting huge premiums on nat gas and oil to bolster cash flow. They just repaid a lot of debt. They need to executing their plan with success in Germany, and higher North America nat gas prices--both factors will make VET soar.
He likes their cross-border business. Steel tariffs were a heated topic, but he felt RUS was protected from them because they have distribution in the U.S. as well as in Canada. They bought a major company to bolster their US operation. He sold his holding and misses out some of this run.
He gave up and sold it a year or so ago. Their drugs face a patent cliff. Developing drugs is risky and expensive. They have a lot of recurring revenue and will likely develop a blockbuster drug, but will it cover the patent cliff? They carry lots of debt from buying companies constantly (they have to).