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Nervous markets await NvidiaThis summary was created by AI, based on 25 opinions in the last 12 months.
Baytex Energy Corp (BTE-T) is facing a challenging market environment, primarily affected by the fluctuations in oil prices and broader economic conditions. While the stock has a deep value potential, it remains highly sensitive to oil prices, needing them to stabilize around $65-70 to demonstrate significant growth. Despite a history of eliminating and reinstating dividends, along with strategic share buybacks, the company has yet to consistently earn its cost of capital, leading it to trade at a discount compared to its peers. Analysts show mixed sentiments; some highlight its strong cash flow and debt reduction efforts, while others view it as a laggard with disappointing stock performance. Overall, there is a sense of frustration among investors, with many waiting for the right market conditions to capitalize on the company's potential.
They executed in their drilling. There's been huge multiple contraction among small/mid-caps. He exited around $3.85-3.90. Shares are in an air pocket now, falling on no natural buyers (energy is out of favour). Stock is cheap, given cash flow. They pay half that cash to buy back shares. Are better stocks than this, but wouldn't rule out buying this again.
Oil is down, which doesn't help. The budget shows a slight decline in production from year end exit rates, so investors may be worried that all the spending ($1.2B) is not going to boost actual average production rates. BTE also updated its five-year plan, which looks OK to us with a planned reduction in debt. But the sector remains out of favour overall right now.
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Huge disappointment, not operationally but on the share price. Typifies an out-of-favour stock: Canadian mid-cap with hair on it. Last quarter had no hair, beat expectations, paid down debt, generated lots of free cash, bought back stock. Deep value, mispriced, too cheap to sell. He's waiting, but patience is being tested.
BTE mentioned that it allocate 50% of free cash flow to its balance sheet and the other 50% to allocating capital to shareholders through buybacks and dividends. Net debt reduced 5% in the quarter but remained high at $2.28B. Earnings were solid as production and net income were up for the quarter. The current capital allocation strategy is quite shareholder friendly but we would like to see debt come down more in the future. The call seemed generally positive.
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Frustrating. A 10% weight for his fund. Good inventory depth, probably 12-15 years. Respects the CEO. Investors are getting 50% of free cashflow. 23-26% free cashflow yield next year and 2026. He targets $9.30 in 1 year, $11.20 in 2 years, so roughly 90-100% upside.
Meaningfully buying back shares means an inevitable, eventual rerating in the stock.
Baytex Energy Corp is a Canadian stock, trading under the symbol BTE-T on the Toronto Stock Exchange (BTE-CT). It is usually referred to as TSX:BTE or BTE-T
In the last year, 19 stock analysts published opinions about BTE-T. 8 analysts recommended to BUY the stock. 3 analysts recommended to SELL the stock. The latest stock analyst recommendation is . Read the latest stock experts' ratings for Baytex Energy Corp.
Baytex Energy Corp was recommended as a Top Pick by on . Read the latest stock experts ratings for Baytex Energy Corp.
Earnings reports or recent company news can cause the stock price to drop. Read stock experts’ recommendations for help on deciding if you should buy, sell or hold the stock.
19 stock analysts on Stockchase covered Baytex Energy Corp In the last year. It is a trending stock that is worth watching.
On 2025-05-02, Baytex Energy Corp (BTE-T) stock closed at a price of $2.27.
Drawdown 100% connected to price of oil. More debt than average. Risk-off market. Totally fine on liquidity. Deep value, but needs oil at $65-70 to really start humming.