Senior Vice President and Portfolio Manager at Vision Capital
Member since: Nov '19 · 614 Opinions
REITs have come off. If you look at a chart of real estate stocks in the S&P 500, valuations are at their lowest levels relative to the rest of the S&P. This group has really been unloved, with the big chase in tech.
As a result, you have great businesses, a great store of value, with growth that's being completely overlooked. Public real estate is trading at a very wide discount to the NAV of the private market. Should be a lot of opportunity heading into 2026. It's a typical environment where you can imagine M&A activity picking up. Great time to look at the space.
Return-to-office mandate picking up. Stock's benefited due to that sentiment, but hasn't translated to operations. Now trading ~10% above consensus NAV. He looks to buy stocks trading at discount to NAV. Fundamental supply/demand picture still not great. Doesn't believe on track to meet occupancy or debt target by year's end.
Better office opportunities elsewhere, perhaps in the US.
Both LTC and home healthcare. Long waitlist for LTC beds, so no risk on earnings side. Very good at managing margins.
Home healthcare is what's growing -- asset light, so dividend won't be as enticing as with other names. Demographics are on its side, but it's hard for him to assign a NAV to it. He'd focus more on names like CSH.UN and SIA.
Lower-yielding stock by design, and he likes that as it gives them a lot of flexibility. Thinks very highly of management. 72% of net operating income comes from non-rent-controlled markets. Mostly in Alberta, which is affordable for people. Good level to buy today. Yield is 2.4%.