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Curated by Michael O'Reilly since 2020
1550+ opinions with 4.81 rating (one of the best performing expert)


Stock Opinions by Richard Orrell

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WATCH
SpaceX.

What they do and services they provide are fascinating to watch. Valuation is extremely rich. Price is up a bit from IPO price. His firm isn't participating quite yet. It will eventually trickle into ETFs, it's been fast-tracked into the NASDAQ 100, not yet in the S&P 500.

The more it goes into ETFs and indices, the more those have to buy it. And that supports the stock. Part of the attraction is Musk, and part of it is FOMO. Money will be made, and money will be lost. The initial over-subscription will push up the price, but where does it go in the longer run? It's wait and see for him.

He's been on the trading floor and around IPOs. That's where the sharks are, so you really have to have a solid system in place to deal with the whipsawing. You really have to know what you're doing.

COMMENT
IPOs for SpaceX, OpenAI, and Anthropic. Where's all the money coming from?

These are big numbers, and it's just mind-boggling. He just hopes that investors don't get caught up in it too much. Keep an eye on how it trades and how everything trickles out.

WAIT

Key word in the description is "active", compared to a number of passive ETFs in the space. It means a few additional expenses. Around only since early 2025, so not a long track record yet. Outperformed market since inception, but lagged a bit in last year.

If you're dead set on investing in those companies, it's an option. You just have to keep monitoring it. Personally, he'd wait for a 3-5 year track record to see if they're adding the alpha that they're promising. "Active" doesn't necessarily mean they'll beat the benchmark.

He prefers to be involved in the outright metals, because a lot can go wrong with individual companies and foreign jurisdictions.

WATCH

Distribution is probably ~9%, and they usually try to keep the NAV fairly stable. On distribution, you have to watch how much they're returning in capital, how much is dividend, and how much is options income. Know that if markets come down, this will also come down.

BUY ON WEAKNESS

This one is full equity exposure, so it doesn't count for the income side of a portfolio. It's more for longer-term growth, and can do well if you have a long enough time horizon. Structured as set-it-and-forget-it.

BUY
Canadian ETF for oil exposure in a RRIF?

XEG would be for outright growth. ENCC is a covered call, more risk-adjusted approach -- caps upside, but helps stem some of the volatility by providing income.

BUY
Canadian ETF for oil exposure in a RRIF?

XEG would be for outright growth. ENCC is a covered call, more risk-adjusted approach -- caps upside, but helps stem some of the volatility by providing income.

BUY
Appropriate for a 38-year-old novice investor?

38 years old suggests a fairly long time horizon. This ETF has 20% fixed income (to dampen volatility) and 80% equity (for growth). Good building block for a long-term portfolio. Not a good option for saving to, for example, buy a house. Usually pretty low MER.

BUY

We've had lots of conflicts and we'll see how they evolve. He's not a policy expert, but we've seen so many drones come in. Iran sending out $30k drones, and the US shooting them down with $1M missiles, doesn't make sense in the long run. The nature of warfare is evolving. And that's why he prefers ETFs for this space, he doesn't know who the winning companies will be.

TRADE

A good example to know what you own -- you can go online to research. He's not familiar with this one, but most hold actual bitcoin. Lots of volatility. He trades bitcoin more than anything else; hasn't held bitcoin for a few months. Bitcoin chart not looking good, might find some interest later this year.

PAST TOP PICK
(A Top Pick Jul 22/25, Up 26%)

Still a core holding. Solid.

PAST TOP PICK
(A Top Pick Jul 22/25, Up 99%)

AI buildout has been on fire. For extreme-growth clients. AI story is still alive and well, but you have to sit through the volatility.

PAST TOP PICK
(A Top Pick Jul 22/25, Up 16%)

Another core holding. Buy on dips, and it tends to go up over time.

DON'T BUY

Pretty thin slice of the AI trade. Companies within it have done well. Good theme, but if you're not diversified enough you have to be really careful. Cyclical. More of a trading vehicle. Nothing wrong with its structure or fees, but he wouldn't use it.

BUY

Nearly identical to QQC.F from today's Past Top Picks. Here you're getting the NASDAQ. If you're willing to let your $$ work for 5-10 years, you'll probably be OK. There will be bumps along the way (and SpaceX will be in there).

Fine if you have a longer-term growth objective.

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