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Latest Stock Buy or Sell? Make More Informed Decisions!

Today, The Weekly Buzzing Stocks by Billy Kawasaki and Nick Mersch, CFA commented about whether NVDA, MSFT, NET, META, ETH-USD, GOOG, VST, ORCL, CRWV, AAPL, VRT, OTEX.TO, SHOP.TO, CSU.TO, NOW, PLTR, WULF are stocks to buy or sell.

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TOP PICK

Palantir Technologies Inc. is a public American software company that specializes in big data analytics. Founded in 2003, the company is headquartered in Denver, Colorado. Palantir's platforms, including Palantir Gotham and Palantir Foundry, are designed to integrate and analyze data from various sources. The company serves a broad range of customers including commercial enterprises and government agencies, primarily focusing on defense, intelligence, and law enforcement sectors. Social media mentions are up 27.5% in the past 24h.

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TOP PICK

NVIDIA Corporation is a leader in the semiconductor industry, renowned for its advances in graphics processing units (GPUs) and artificial intelligence (AI) infrastructure. Founded in 1993 and headquartered in Santa Clara, California, the company has consistently pushed the boundaries of technology, particularly in gaming graphics, AI, and data center markets. NVIDIA's technology is broadly adopted across multiple industries, including automotive, healthcare, and financial services, making it a key player in the technology sector. Social media mentions are up 11.1% in the past 24h.

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TOP PICK

TeraWulf is an emerging company in the cryptocurrency mining sector, known for its focus on sustainable and efficient mining operations. The firm leverages state-of-the-art technology to deliver high-performance mining solutions while maintaining a strong commitment to environmental stewardship. As the cryptocurrency market evolves, TeraWulf aims to position itself as a leader in this dynamic and rapidly expanding industry. Social media mentions are up 9% in the past 24h.

COMMENT
Recent selloff in big tech.

A lot of it is some air coming out of the system. If you look at multiple expansions over the last little while, some stocks were trading at crazy valuations. Take PLTR, for example. Trading at over 70x EV to revenue. Though it does have a premium in terms of growth rate and profitability, you have to pause and say that some of these valuations have to come back down to earth.

We still have a lot of fundamental growth ahead, and you're going to get some opportunities over the next little while to pick away at these names.

WAIT

Trading at over 70x EV to revenue. Though it does have a premium in terms of growth rate and profitability, you have to pause and say that some of these valuations have to come back down to earth. Down 20% in the last week. 

COMMENT
How/when to invest in tech again?

You have to look at the entire stack of all similar companies together. You have the hyperscalers, the semiconductors, the supporting infrastructure, and the power component. Across a particular stack, look for dislocations where you have these massive selloffs. A lot more air can come out of the market when it comes to multiples. 

You will get opportunities to pick up some of these long-term growers, with very strong fundamentals, as they sell off and the multiples compress.

COMMENT
Comparisons with dot-com bubble.

When you look at the dot-com bubble, today it's a different buildout. Back then, it was funded very much with debt. A lot of the companies were taking on very aggressive debt profiles, with very high interest payments.

This time around, we have the hyperscalers that are extremely cashflow generative. They've enjoyed decades of monopoly-like businesses to give them strong cash balance sheets. So a lot of the growth is getting funded with cash. 

On the other side, we're also starting to see a lot of the revenue come up. On the cost structure, companies are also starting to optimize. A lot of operating leverage as companies roll out their solutions. These companies are also eating their own cooking, as they implement a lot of these AI applications internally within their own ecosystems. This also adds to the operating leverage.

BUY ON WEAKNESS

ITSM (IT service management) platform. Integrated into the IT department of a lot of Fortune 500 companies. Implementing a lot of AI solutions at these companies, so this name actually benefits from the AI disruption. Free cashflow compounder for a very long time. 

WATCH
Is sudden drop a chance to buy or a signal to stay away?

Very aggressive M&A strategy. Some of the best capital allocators in the business. Optimizes costs in acquisitions to increase margins, but doesn't necessarily invest in growth. So organic revenue has struggled, and we need to analyze how long this will last. Vertical synergy strategy works well.

Key metric to look for is reacceleration of organic revenue, rather than just M&A revenue.

BUY ON WEAKNESS

Has been fantastic. Really good recent quarter. Right-sizing cost structure. Integrating with large-language-model search platforms, and so all searches essentially lead to Shopify. Taking advantage of AI, rather than being overcome by it.

DON'T BUY

"Garbage in, garbage out" is a saying that demonstrates how you really need to have your data house in order to optimize decision-making processes. Earnings YOY still shrinking, and so it trades at a low multiple. Organic revenue decline is concerning. They can't M&A their way out of this. 

BUY

Liquid cooling systems. Capitalizing on data centre buildout. Sells the picks and shovels into the long-term secular trend (he's a huge fan of this type of strategy). Inning 4-5 of the infrastructure buildout, with capex numbers moving up. 

Massive opportunity. Trades at lower multiples because margins are a bit smaller and growth is less than NVDA's. Exposure to revenue from data centre systems is higher than peers. Best pure play in manufacturing components within the data centre space.

HOLD

Sat out capex on data centres and infrastructure that's depleting other companies' cash balances. Time will tell whether this was a good move or not. The big capex spend may not have been the most efficient use of capital. 

Core company beliefs are free cashflow and earnings. Consistently buys back shares, which enhances return to shareholders. Apple owns the end consumer. Don't count it out yet.

DON'T BUY

One of the most contentious stocks right now. Drastic undersupply of GPUs to power systems, but how long will this last? Another question is how proprietary, really, is what CRWV's doing? Concerning debt profile, burning cash. Follow the free cashflow.

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