Director & Portfolio Manager at Private Wealth Management, ScotiaMcleod
Member since: Jun '09 · 3414 Opinions
He is moving a little out of the US and TSX, simply because he sees valuation discounts outside NA. So he's looking at European and international markets. An uncertain US dollar helps those markets in terms of investment. Falling interest rates outside NA also helps.
He doesn't look for particular countries or regions, he's more company-specific.
Great numbers yesterday, as well as an all-time high. Still likes it. Canadians continue to downshift spending into more affordable channels. 60% of sales from private labels, which increases margins and differentiates themselves from competitors (not that there are many). International expansion into Dollar City in Latin America is good for long-term growth.
Premium valuation of 41x forward earnings. Sees 15% growth. To add, wait for better pricing opportunity.
Oil's been under pressure, and so have energy stocks, due to concerns about global economy. All these names are in a downswing, but you're getting a pretty nice dividend here of over 5%. 200-day MA is falling, and price is just below that, so may be important inflection point to see if it breaks above. If so, would be a positive technical indicator.
Potential geopolitical rumblings around the world could put push oil price up, but that's just speculation. Sentiment on energy is rather weak. OPEC's not helping by increasing production. Valuation is very cheap compared to last 10 years and to the indices; but that doesn't mean to jump in there right now. Need more evidence of an upswing by market understanding that the global economy is not going to fall off a cliff.
Hasn't had a chance to look closely at yesterday's earnings. Stock's at a 52-week, if not all-time, high today. Looks interesting, given the cloud space it's in. Not expensive at 2x PEG, with forward PE of 29-30x. Earnings growth rate ~16%.
Technically, meets his criteria. 200-day MA is trending higher, and price is above that. High beta, volatile.
Paying about 99 bps MER for a covered call strategy, giving you a 9-10% dividend yield. A lot of investors are really attracted to that yield. But when you compare the covered call strategy against the underlying securities, you'll find that a lot of the time you'll do better just owning the underlying healthcare index. Covered calls mean you get struck out without realizing some of the upside of names in the portfolio.
If you need the income, fine. If not, just own the underlying stocks or index -- pay less in management fees, capture upside. Over time, that will give you a better total return.
He does own healthcare, but in a very specific space. See his Top Picks. Healthcare is fairly undervalued compared to history, mainly because we have many different industries within the healthcare space. Big pharma, biotech, distributors, medical devices, etc. Some are doing extremely well, and some not at all.
Extremely well run. Shares pulling back from highs once Buffett announced retirement. Share price at 200-day MA, an inflection point. You have to understand that it's a fairly concentrated conglomerate of companies, including AAPL (though position was trimmed). Value strategy, which does well in time of uncertainty and higher interest rates; not so much when growth is on the boil with S&P being driven by tech.
Likes it long term, but big overhang on new management right now. If drops below 200-day MA, investors need to pay attention. Also tied to your outlook on AAPL.
Trades at 34x forward PE, with 20% growth rate starting next year. Technicals are positive. Shares are above 200-day MA, which is trending higher. AWS growth is reaccelerating again. Automation is improving margins. Ads are high margin and boosting profitability. Prime membership is its ecosystem, and very powerful.
He sold on a negative technical formation, when shares started trading below a falling 200-day MA. Growth is weak, only 2-3%. Beer segment is really decelerating, as are wine/spirits. Premium names could suffer if consumers trade down in a weak economy. 35% acquisition of Canopy Growth may also be an overhang.