
Director & Portfolio Manager at Private Wealth Management, ScotiaMcleod
Member since: Jun '09 · 3720 Opinions
We're a bit overbought technically, so could be due for a pause at some point. If oil remains above $100 for a sustained period, that could cause inflation to ratchet up. Geopolitical events can cause new concerns, along with US midterms in November.
That said, the third year of a presidential cycle (next year) is typically the best of the four for markets.
Technically, this one looks very strong. Hitting new highs, 200-day MA continues to move higher. Insurance gives you stable earnings and relatively cheap valuations. Yield is 3.5%, he expects dividend to move higher. A sturdy name, probably a better entry to be had.
He owns no insurance names right now, as the space rocketed up.
Steady business, but the stock's not looking the same. 200-day MA trending lower, series of lower lows and lower highs. Market's looking for more exciting plays. Fundamentally sound. Sees 10% earnings growth, but a bit pricey at 27x forward PE.
Technicals would make it hard for him to start a position.