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TSE:TOU
This summary was created by AI, based on 64 opinions in the last 12 months.
Tourmaline Oil Corp (TOU) is recognized as Canada's largest natural gas producer and is often highlighted for its strong management and well-structured operations. The company faces challenges due to weak commodity prices and significant competition, notably from increased natural gas drilling in the U.S. The experts express a mix of sentiments, with some advising to buy at current levels given its long-term growth prospects and potential for LNG expansion, while others caution about the stock's volatile nature and short-term fluctuations in prices. Analysts are optimistic about the company's fundamentals, with many expecting a recovery in natural gas prices driven by future LNG contracts and structural demand increases. The sentiment reflects a belief that despite current market pressures, there are significant long-term tailwinds that could benefit Tourmaline.
He doesn't let the stock market dictate his conviction and concern level. He follows the fundamentals and earnings. How's the balance sheet? Are they raising the dividend? Most of it is daily noise, just ignore it (unless you're a daily trader). He urges the investor to own stocks for retirement, and not worry so much about the day-to-day.
Great business. A slam-dunk Buy here. Focus on the next 3-5 years. Thinks it'll double production over the next 5 years. Natural gas prices should be a lot higher.
High quality name. Leader in natural gas in Canada. Very low cost operations, good drilling inventory in Western Canada. Long-term structural tailwinds from electrification, data centres, and power demand.
That said, it doesn't matter how strong the company or the balance sheet is, it can't escape weak commodity prices. And that's what we're facing right now. Stock's been sideways over past year, barely positive. 200-day MA flat. This name carries a bit of beta and volatility. Be cautious.
Instead, look at a more conservative and integrated name such as CNQ. Or move to the pipelines.
If owned he would switch to something else. He is critical of corporate strategy and the stock hasn't done much for the past few years. There is too much supply growth in natural gas so Tourmaline has cut its Capex growth going forward. It is very resource rich with decades of drilling inventory. Needs a better natural gas price.
About 80% gas, 20% oil. One of the big 6 names in Canada. Widely held, and by lots of institutions. ARX is being taken out, so this name is the last one standing that's predominantly gas. Very well run. Trades ~7x cashflow, fairly valued, not a lot of upside. Fairly heavy capex program.
Not a huge fan of Canadian nat gas, as pricing in Western Canada is atrocious. He's more favourable to Canadian oil. Dividend is ~3.5%.
Iran conflict prompted a lot of natural gas drilling in the US, and so the price collapsed. LNG Canada allows exports to higher-priced markets in Asia. New floating gasification plants will also add capacity. More upside. (You could take some of your oil profits and redeploy into gas names, which look really cheap.)
It's the biggest Canadian natural gas driller, but hasn't benefited from the US-Iran war, because North American nat gas prices have held (can't ship it abroad). TOU is managed well. They're building their infrastructure to lower the cost of the gas fields and this coincides with higher nat gas prices. Free cash flows will spike as capex falls and LNG contracts kick in.
(Analysts’ price target is $70.72)Paying you really well to wait. At the time, he bought it for the nat gas market finally turning; all those catalysts are still in place. Still cheaper than it ought to be. Not an "if" story, just a matter of time. Sit and enjoy your dividend; will start to work probably in the not-too-distant future.
Tourmaline Oil Corp is a Canadian stock, trading under the symbol TOU.TO (previously TOU-T on Stockchase) on the Toronto Stock Exchange (TOU-CT). It is usually referred to as TSX:TOU or TOU.TO
In the last year, 61 stock analysts issued a Buy, Sell, or Hold rating on TOU.TO (previously TOU-T on Stockchase). 43 analysts recommended to BUY and 9 analysts recommended to SELL the stock. The latest stock analyst rating is PAST TOP PICK. Read the latest stock experts' ratings for Tourmaline Oil Corp.
Tourmaline Oil Corp was recommended as a Top Pick by Darren Sissons on 2026-08-21. Read the latest stock experts ratings for Tourmaline Oil Corp.
Earnings reports or recent company news can cause the stock price to drop. Read stock experts' recommendations for Tourmaline Oil Corp.
Tourmaline Oil Corp is followed by 834 investors on Stockchase and is a trending stock that is worth watching.
On 2026-08-26, Tourmaline Oil Corp (TOU.TO) stock closed at a price of $62.25.
Long-term story still intact. Challenge for nat gas is the Iran conflict -- US oil companies drilled more, which produced excess nat gas and depressed the price. The whole ecosystem has underperformed. Peace in the Iran conflict will be a positive.