Founder, Blue Line Capital at Blue Line Capital
Member since: Apr '23 · 74 Opinions
Near-term tailwinds came from China recently, which let Amer break out above its IPO price, despite an analyst downgrade today. Would buy a lot on a pullback. The brand loyalty for their sporting goods is solid. They have many revenues streams across many sports.
Today's downgraded doesn't bother him. These calls go back and forth often. Their weight-loss drug could add $10 billion revenues. A good time to own this.
Was upgraded today. They're diversified, including VMware, a subscription business, and they benefit from infrastructure spending. It will continue to rise.
Are in the perfect spot to power ever-growing data centres. Electricity demand from these centres will rise from 1-2% to 6-8% by 2030.
They beat EPS the last 5 times. They report next week.
To protect his downside, he bought 450 puts with a Nov.15 expiration. If the market rolls over, he'll be protected. It's unheard of to recover from the recent volatility so cleanly upward. It's likely there will be some sort of backward move.
To protect his downside, he bought 450 puts with a Nov.15 expiration. If the market rolls over, he'll be protected. It's unheard of to recover from the recent volatility so cleanly upward. It's likely there will be some sort of backward move.
It's a disaster, but he appreciates their transparency. We will see another outage down the road by another company. There could be claims, but he sees today's pullback as a buying opportunity. He's watching $270 as support. He doubts there will be government intervention. The outage could trigger even more spending in cybersecurity.
Bought it though it's unloved. Shares plunged late April on earnings and lowered guidance, but the selling is done. So the bar is set low for their next report which should be positive. Intel is starting to see analyst upgrades. The government is supporting this with its chips act.
Last week he bought it around $195, then just sold part of his holding around $250. Sales deliveries were good news, and energy storage business hit record profit margins. Another tailwind is that locally built Teslas appeared on the approved Chinese government buying list. But it is a volatile name. If it falls to $220, he may buy back some.
He bought more last week, very bullish heading into Q3. Over the weekend, China reported record sales. This could settle around $197-200. The August robo-taxi unveiling could be influential. China is extending subsidies in consumers buying Teslas.
He trimmed is Nvidia by 10%. Sometimes after a stock split, shares run up, then pull back by 20-25%, and he's prepared for that here. This is his biggest position. He'll see how it plays out. He could sell more next week. Maybe shares can rise to $160.
He did a put spread on May 2, the 500-520 end of July put spread. He wasn't concerned about NVDA or tech, but to the market's reaction broadly to Nividia's earnings. Rally broadening in the S&P had not happened. You're limiting your downside with a spread. He bought back the 500 put, which leads him long only the 599 outs.
He just bought this to get exposure to China, which he didn't have at all directly. Top holdings include Alibaba and Tencent as well as Taiwan Semi. He likes the momentum in this geography.