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Curated by Michael O'Reilly since 2020.
1550+ opinions with 4.81 rating (one of the best performing expert).

TOP PICK
Stockchase Research Editor: Michael O'Reilly

There is simply no better diversified company in the Canadian energy sector than CNQ.  Quarterly cash reserves are growing again despite relatively lower energy prices, shares being bought back and debt retired -- good cash flow.  It trades at 13x earnings, 2.1x book and supports a 20% ROE.  Amazingly, the company has increased dividends for 25 consecutive years and the current yield is backed by a payout ratio under 60% of cash flow.  We recommend setting a stop-loss at $32.00, looking to achieve $52.50 -- upside potential of 26%.  Yield 5.7%

(Analysts’ price target is $52.17)
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Curated by Michael O'Reilly since 2020.
1550+ opinions with 4.81 rating (one of the best performing expert).

TOP PICK
Stockchase Research Editor: Michael O'Reilly

ELF offers investments and insurance and includes Empire Life.  It trades at 4x earnings, under book value, and supports a ROE of 14%.  Recently reported earnings demonstrated a 57% in net income and growing cash reserves.  We recommend setting a stop-loss at $12.00, looking to achieve $17.50 -- upside potential of 18%.  Yield 1.1%

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Curated by Michael O'Reilly since 2020.
1550+ opinions with 4.81 rating (one of the best performing expert).

TOP PICK
Stockchase Research Editor: Michael O'Reilly

We again reiterate VGG as a TOP PICK.  It is a low-MER ETF that offers exposure to US high tech giants along with dividend growing companies.  It manages well in good times and holds its value better during market declines.  We recommend trailing up the stop (from $83) to $90, looking to achieve $116 -- upside potential of 18%.  Yield 1.1%

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Curated by Michael O'Reilly since 2020.
1550+ opinions with 4.81 rating (one of the best performing expert).

PAST TOP PICK
(A Top Pick Mar 25/25, Up 25%)Stockchase Research Editor: Michael O'Reilly

Our PAST TOP PICK with BLX has achieved its target at $47.  To remain disciplined, we recommend covering half the position at this time and trailing up the stop (from $36) to $40.  

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Curated by Michael O'Reilly since 2020.
1550+ opinions with 4.81 rating (one of the best performing expert).

PAST TOP PICK
(A Top Pick Jun 12/25, Down 13.4%)Stockchase Research Editor: Michael O'Reilly

Our PAST TOP PICK with LLY has triggered its stop at $703.  To remain disciplined, we recommend covering the position at this time.  

COMMENT

Today, core US inflation is up which translates to positive news. Tariffs were supposed to impact this July number, but is up only slightly from June. Some research says that a third to two-thirds of the tariff impact is being absorbed by companies instead of being passed onto consumers, such as inventory build-up. But in time, companies will inevitably pass the tariff impact onto consumers. However, credit car delinquencies show consumers are growing strained. We still have to watch the data. It could take up to 12 months before we see the full impact of tariffs onto consumers. The US Fed between announcements issues forward guidance, which is a softer way to make a rate announcement. Trump is strongly pressuring the Fed to cut rates.  

DON'T BUY

Prefers Canadian banks for their dividends. For instance, BNS is undervalued and pays a high dividend and trades at a low PE. There's room for the PE to expand. People buy foreign banks for the dividend, but you have to pay a withholding tax.

BUY
Question about Banco Santander

Prefers Canadian banks for their dividends. For instance, BNS is undervalued and pays a high dividend and trades at a low PE. There's room for the PE to expand. People buy foreign banks for the dividend, but you have to pay a withholding tax.

BUY ON WEAKNESS

Are facing some issues. As the minimum wage has risen, their labour costs have too. Also, pre-tariffs, they faced labour shortages. After tariffs, the car parts they used possibly faced tariffs. Is defensive, but the valuation is rich. Is cash-flow positive.

HOLD

The Union Pacific-Norfolk merger in the US more likely to happen under this administration than the last and will create more competition among all railroads, including CN. The industry is attractive, because there are few companies, but the downside is the lack of growth and the rails are economically sensitive. They sold off this year under Trump's tariffs. Sit tight, if you own it. Trades at a reasonably 17x PE. He prefers CP for its network across the US and Canada, but it will take time to return to favour.

BUY

Like GS-N, it's the dominant bank in its country, and trades at a premium to peers, but deserves the premium because they've expanded into the lucrative wealth management area. They don't suffer problems in US retail banking like some peers; RY exited that decades ago. The forward PE of 13-14x is slightly higher than historic and this sector, but is justified through earnings growth.

DON'T BUY

Has done very well since its spin-off years ago. Any insurer can generate earnings. If TSU revives their reserves down the road it will wipe out any earnings they've accumulated and any retained capital in that business. In insurance, Berkshire-Hathaway and Fairfax. Insurance stocks are more expensive, because they are counter-cyclical and the money that's flowing into this space have increased the valuations.

HOLD

A stable, dependable business with a good footprint in the US that will allow growth. It has room to run. The valuation is below peers and debt is much better. Can use a stop loss to lock in your gains. Or sit tight.

PAST TOP PICK
(A Top Pick Aug 14/24, Up 43%)

A core holding, though would wait for a pullback to add more. The underlying business is private equity. Given potential changes in 401K plans in the US, there will be more demand for private equity. Large players like this are well-positioned. Has seen strong earnings growth the past year and multiples expansion. This is one of the best compounders.

PAST TOP PICK
(A Top Pick Aug 14/24, Up 21%)

Pharma is in the penalty box, but medical devices are not (so far). Organic growth in the core business is nearly 10%, strong. They enjoy massive demographic support. The PE is around a low 20x PE. Has strong growth. Wait for a pullback to enter.

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